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FK Pohronie vs Senica

Slovakia Slovakia

Fortuna liga 2021/2022 Mestský štadión Žiar nad Hronom
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Fortuna liga 2021/2022 encounter between FK Pohronie and Senica promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. FK Pohronie averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Senica shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for FK Pohronie, 4 wins for Senica, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.05.22 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for FK Pohronie and 1.00 for Senica, suggesting the primary value lies in the FK Pohronie double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

43%
FK Pohronie
15%
Uavgjort
42%
Senica
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: FK Pohronie

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

69% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • FK Pohronie har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Senica.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.35 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 58%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 68%
Over 2.5 Mål 58%
Over 3.5 Mål 35%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 47%
FK Pohronie Rent bur 23%
Senica Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 61%
Mål 2. omgang 65%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk FK Pohronie Senica
Kamper Spilt 33 29
Seire 13 11
Uavgjort 10 2
Tap 10 16
Mål Scoret 1.61 0.97
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.21 1.69

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

21.05.22 Nike liga
FK Pohronie vs Senica
1:0
09.04.22 Nike liga
Senica vs FK Pohronie
2:1
16.03.22 Slovak Cup
Senica vs FK Pohronie
3:2
11.12.21 Nike liga
FK Pohronie vs Senica
0:1
11.09.21 Nike liga
Senica vs FK Pohronie
1:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

FK Pohronie

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Senica

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

FK Pohronie Sammenlign

Toppscorer Lacny M.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.15
Snitt xA / kamp 0.75

Senica Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0
Snitt xA / kamp 0

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

FK Pohronie 43 / 100
Senica 40 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
FK Pohronie Senica

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: FK Pohronie or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

FK Pohronie 47%
Senica 34%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

FK Pohronie 41%
Senica 44%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

FK Pohronie 43%
Senica 42%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

FK Pohronie 45%
Senica 40%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

FK Pohronie 39%
Senica 46%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

FK Pohronie 49%
Senica 48%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

FK Pohronie angriper → ← angriper Senica

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

FK Pohronie have found the net in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Senica have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.20 goals per match.

FK Pohronie remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Senica suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

49 Poeng siste 5 35
1.50 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
1.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
7Trencin321391058:4348
8L. Mikulas321171442:5740
9Michalovce321241632:4240
10Senica32971629:5134
11Z. Moravce-Vrable32791633:5030
12FK Pohronie32462227:5918