Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Highbury Stadium

Accrington

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

This EFL Trophy 2025/2026 encounter between Fleetwood Town and Accrington promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Fleetwood Town averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Accrington shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Fleetwood Town, 0 wins for Accrington, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.04.26 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for Fleetwood Town and 0.88 for Accrington, suggesting the primary value lies in the Fleetwood Town double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

43%

Fleetwood Town

25%

Uavgjort

32%

Accrington

Uavgjort-prognose: 25% Favoritt: Fleetwood Town

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

74% / Middels Sikkerhet

Fleetwood Town har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Accrington.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.25 vs 0.88 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%

Over 1.5 Mål 68%

Over 2.5 Mål 43%

Over 3.5 Mål 26%

Over 4.5 Mål 13%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 51%

Fleetwood Town Rent bur 25%

Accrington Rent bur 11%

Mål 1. omgang 61%

Mål 2. omgang 65%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Fleetwood Town	Accrington
Kamper Spilt	32	32
Seire	10	11
Uavgjort	11	6
Tap	11	15
Mål Scoret	1.19	1.03
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.13	1.31
Forventede Mål (xG)	0.88	0.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

11.04.26 League Two

Accrington vs Fleetwood Town

Ballbesittelse: 51% - 56% Kort: 1 - 1

1:2

25.10.25 League Two

Fleetwood Town vs Accrington

Ballbesittelse: 54% - 42% Kort: 4 - 1

2:1

02.09.25 EFL Trophy

Fleetwood Town vs Accrington

Ballbesittelse: 42% - 54% Kort: 2 - 3

3:2

01.04.25 League Two

Accrington vs Fleetwood Town

Ballbesittelse: 54% - 52% Kort: 2 - 2

1:4

16.12.24 League Two

Fleetwood Town vs Accrington

Ballbesittelse: 55% - 59% Kort: 2 - 0

1:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Fleetwood Town

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Accrington

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Fleetwood Town Sammenlign

Toppscorer Norwood J.

1 Mål

Assister Ennis E.

1 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.68

Snitt xA / kamp 0.44

Accrington Sammenlign

Toppscorer Heath I.

1 Mål

Assister Henderson A.

1 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.45

Snitt xA / kamp 0.28

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Fleetwood Town 44 / 100

Accrington 31 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Fleetwood Town Accrington

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Fleetwood Town or Draw (1X)

Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals

Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Fleetwood Town 47%

Accrington 26%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Fleetwood Town 41%

Accrington 34%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Fleetwood Town 43%

Accrington 32%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Fleetwood Town 45%

Accrington 30%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Fleetwood Town 39%

Accrington 35%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Fleetwood Town 49%

Accrington 37%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Fleetwood Town angriper → ← angriper Accrington

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Fleetwood Town have found the net in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Accrington have conceded at least one goal in 72% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.

Fleetwood Town remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Accrington suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

41 Poeng siste 5 39

0.88 Forventede mål (xG) 0.50

1.25 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Salford	3	3	0	9:3	9
2	Stockport County	3	2	1	7:7	5
3	Wolves U21	3	1	2	7:10	3
4	Wigan	3	0	3	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tranmere	3	3	0	6:4	8
2	Blackpool	3	2	1	8:3	6
3	Barrow	3	1	2	3:7	3
4	Nottingham U21	3	0	3	3:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	3	3	0	8:2	9
2	Bradford City	3	2	1	8:5	6
3	Grimsby	3	1	2	6:8	3
4	Everton U21	3	0	3	5:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Lincoln City	3	3	0	8:0	9
2	Barnsley	3	1	2	6:6	3
3	Manchester United U21	3	1	2	4:8	3
4	Notts County	3	1	2	2:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bolton	3	3	0	10:2	9
2	Rotherham	3	2	1	7:5	6
3	Manchester City U21	3	1	2	7:8	3
4	Oldham	3	0	3	5:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Harrogate	3	3	0	5:1	9
2	Huddersfield	3	2	1	9:4	6
3	Newcastle Utd U21	3	1	2	5:11	2
4	Mansfield	3	0	3	3:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Port Vale	3	2	1	9:4	7
2	Fleetwood Town	3	3	0	9:5	7
3	Accrington	3	1	2	5:6	4
4	Leeds U21	3	0	3	3:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crewe	3	3	0	12:2	9
2	Chesterfield	3	1	2	4:9	4
3	Burton	3	1	2	3:4	3
4	Liverpool U21	3	1	2	2:6	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	3	2	1	4:2	6
2	Exeter	3	2	1	5:4	6
3	Newport	3	1	2	2:3	3
4	Arsenal U21	3	1	2	6:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bristol Rovers	3	3	0	6:4	8
2	Plymouth	3	2	1	8:3	6
3	Cheltenham	3	1	2	2:5	2
4	Tottenham U21	3	0	3	8:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Northampton	3	3	0	6:1	9
2	Walsall	3	2	1	3:2	5
3	Shrewsbury	3	1	2	5:6	3
4	Chelsea U21	3	0	3	1:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Swindon	3	2	1	9:5	6
2	West Ham U21	3	2	1	9:6	6
3	Reading	3	2	1	6:4	6
4	Milton Keynes Dons	3	0	3	1:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Stevenage	3	3	0	12:4	9
2	AFC Wimbledon	3	2	1	6:7	6
3	Bromley	3	1	2	5:7	2
4	Crystal Palace U21	3	0	3	6:11	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	3	3	0	6:2	9
2	Peterborough	3	2	1	7:6	6
3	Crawley Town	3	1	2	6:6	3
4	Aston Villa U21	3	0	3	4:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Colchester	3	3	0	6:2	9
2	Wycombe	3	2	1	7:3	6
3	Gillingham	3	1	2	5:6	3
4	Fulham U21	3	0	3	2:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Luton	3	2	1	8:5	6
2	Cambridge Utd	3	2	1	6:4	6
3	Barnet	3	2	1	5:7	5
4	Brighton U21	3	0	3	2:5	1