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Stadium Background

Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

10' Event
Savarino J.
(Straffe)
12' Event
Londono F.
28' Event
Pereira H.
Assist: Martinelli

Kampsammendrag

Fluminense in this Copa Libertadores tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Fluminense
28%
Uavgjort
22%
Deportivo La Guaira
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Fluminense

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Fluminense have won more games recently than Deportivo La Guaira.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense taking it.
  • Fluminense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 97%
Over 1.5 Mål 87%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 27%
Over 4.5 Mål 12%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 34.8%
Fluminense Rent bur 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Fluminense Deportivo La Guaira
Kamper Spilt 28 30
Seire 12 9
Uavgjort 10 14
Tap 6 7
Mål Scoret 2.25 1.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.88 1.57
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.25 1.14
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.88 1.57

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

28. mai 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Deportivo La Guaira
3:1
7. apr. 2026 Copa Libertadores
Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense
0:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Fluminense Sammenlign

Toppscorer Pereira H.
1 Mål
Assister Canobbio A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.73
Snitt xA / kamp 1.13

Deportivo La Guaira Sammenlign

Toppscorer Londono F.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.04
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Fluminense 59 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Fluminense Deportivo La Guaira

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips FLU Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Fluminense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fluminense found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo La Guaira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Måltrender

Fluminense VS Deportivo La Guaira
2.25 Mål scoret 1.14
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
01 Aug
Vasco
0 : 0
Fluminense
30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0
Bahia
26 Jul
Gremio
1 : 1
Fluminense
17 Jul
Fluminense
1 : 1
Bragantino
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0
Bahia
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
01 Aug
Monagas
1 : 2
Deportivo La Guaira
31 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
23 May
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Deportivo La Guaira
21 May
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo RJ651014:216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:59
3Ind. Medellin62136:117
4Cusco60154:121
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo63128:610
2Deportes Tolima62227:68
3Club Nacional62227:98
4Universitario de Deportes61325:66
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia651015:616
2Fluminense62227:78
3Bolivar61236:85
4Deportivo La Guaira60336:133
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica64118:413
2Cruzeiro63218:311
3Boca Juniors62136:57
4Barcelona SC61052:123
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians63218:411
2Platense63128:710
3Santa Fe62226:78
4Penarol60334:83
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno64116:213
2Palmeiras632110:511
3Sporting Cristal62046:96
4Junior61145:114
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU Quito64028:512
2Mirassol64027:412
3Lanus63033:79
4Always Ready61057:93
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle641111:613
2Rosario Central64119:113
3Universidad Central63037:119
4Libertad Asuncion60064:130
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)