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Stadium Background

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha

USA USA

USL Cup Breese Stevens Field
søn. 12. juli 2026
VS
00:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This USL Cup encounter between Forward Madison and Union Omaha promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Forward Madison averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Union Omaha shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Forward Madison, 3 wins for Union Omaha, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.04.26 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.69 for Forward Madison and 1.44 for Union Omaha, suggesting the primary value lies in the Union Omaha double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Forward Madison
15%
Uavgjort
49%
Union Omaha
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Union Omaha

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

75% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Forward Madison har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Union Omaha.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 58%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 72%
Over 2.5 Mål 58%
Over 3.5 Mål 35%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 45%
Forward Madison Rent bur 16%
Union Omaha Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 65%
Mål 2. omgang 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Forward Madison Union Omaha
Kamper Spilt 28 32
Seire 12 19
Uavgjort 4 3
Tap 12 10
Mål Scoret 1.36 1.75
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.57 1.22
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

11.04.26 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Forward Madison
1:0
18.10.25 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Forward Madison
4:0
08.06.25 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
0:1
03.05.25 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
0:0
30.08.24 USL Cup
Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
4:3

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Forward Madison

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Union Omaha

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Forward Madison 36 / 100
Union Omaha 46 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Forward Madison Union Omaha

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Union Omaha or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Forward Madison 40%
Union Omaha 39%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Forward Madison 34%
Union Omaha 51%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Forward Madison 36%
Union Omaha 49%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Forward Madison 38%
Union Omaha 47%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Forward Madison 32%
Union Omaha 54%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Forward Madison 41%
Union Omaha 56%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Forward Madison angriper → ← angriper Union Omaha

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Forward Madison have found the net in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Union Omaha have conceded at least one goal in 75% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Forward Madison remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Union Omaha suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

40 Poeng siste 5 60
1.63 Forventede mål (xG) 1.63
1.25 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sacramento Republic33007:18
2Spokane Velocity32013:56
3Athletic Club Boise32017:65
4Oakland Roots31023:34
5Monterey Bay31026:73
6Las Vegas Lights30031:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colorado Springs33007:19
2El Paso Locomotive32015:36
3New Mexico32016:56
4AV Alta FC31023:53
5Phoenix Rising31022:63
6Orange County SC30033:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Antonio FC33004:18
2Birmingham Legion32015:26
3One Knoxville32014:34
4FC Tulsa31023:44
5Corpus Christi FC31021:43
6Chattanooga Red Wolves30032:52
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Louisville City33009:28
2Indy Eleven43017:47
3Lexington32016:46
4Union Omaha32017:86
5Detroit City31022:35
6Fort Wayne30035:101
7Forward Madison30032:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hartford Athletic32016:27
2Brooklyn FC32018:36
3Rhode Island32015:25
4Portland Hearts of Pine31025:94
5New York Cosmos31024:93
6Westchester SC31025:82
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Charleston33007:18
2Charlotte Independence33005:28
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds31024:35
4Loudoun United31024:53
5Greenville Triumph31023:53
6Richmond Kickers30031:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay33008:19
2Miami FC32016:56
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise31022:43
5FC Naples31023:72