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Stadium Background

France U18 vs Belgium U18

World World

Friendly International 2024
man. 14. okt. 2024
VS
00:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Friendly International 2024 encounter between France U18 and Belgium U18 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. France U18 averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Belgium U18 shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for France U18, 0 wins for Belgium U18, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.10.24 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.75 for France U18 and 1.35 for Belgium U18, suggesting the primary value lies in the France U18 double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

43%
France U18
15%
Uavgjort
42%
Belgium U18
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: France U18

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

69% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • France U18 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Belgium U18.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.75 vs 1.35 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 64%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 78%
Over 2.5 Mål 64%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 19%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 51%
France U18 Rent bur 18%
Belgium U18 Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 70%
Mål 2. omgang 74%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk France U18 Belgium U18
Kamper Spilt 30 27
Seire 14 13
Uavgjort 3 2
Tap 13 12
Mål Scoret 1.73 1.56
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.57 1.67
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 0.71
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14.10.24 Friendly International
France U18 vs Belgium U18
0:0
11.10.24 Friendly International
France U18 vs Belgium U18
0:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

France U18

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Belgium U18

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

France U18 42 / 100
Belgium U18 40 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
France U18 Belgium U18

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: France U18 or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

France U18 47%
Belgium U18 34%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

France U18 41%
Belgium U18 44%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

France U18 43%
Belgium U18 42%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

France U18 45%
Belgium U18 40%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

France U18 39%
Belgium U18 46%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

France U18 49%
Belgium U18 48%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

France U18 angriper → ← angriper Belgium U18

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

France U18 have found the net in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Belgium U18 have conceded at least one goal in 78% of their last 27 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 0.00 goals per match.

France U18 remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Belgium U18 suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Friendly match context where both France U18 and Belgium U18 will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

45 Poeng siste 5 41
1.50 Forventede mål (xG) 0.71
2.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.00