Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Parc des Princes

Iceland

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

France enters this World Championship 2026 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 56%. France averages 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Iceland shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for France, 0 wins for Iceland, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.10.25 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.25 for France and 1.00 for Iceland, suggesting the primary value lies in the France double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

56%

France

20%

Uavgjort

24%

Iceland

Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: France

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

84% / Høy Sikkerhet

France har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Iceland.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.25 vs 1.00 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 67%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%

Over 1.5 Mål 86%

Over 2.5 Mål 67%

Over 3.5 Mål 40%

Over 4.5 Mål 20%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 53%

France Rent bur 23%

Iceland Rent bur 10%

Mål 1. omgang 77%

Mål 2. omgang 82%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	France	Iceland
Kamper Spilt	29	30
Seire	21	10
Uavgjort	3	4
Tap	5	16
Mål Scoret	2.21	1.53
Mål Sluppet Inn	0.93	1.83
Forventede Mål (xG)	2.63	0.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	1.13	1.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

13.10.25 World Championship

Iceland vs France

Ballbesittelse: 42% - 52% Kort: 4 - 1

2:2

09.09.25 World Championship

France vs Iceland

Ballbesittelse: 41% - 41% Kort: 2 - 4

2:1

11.10.19 Euro

Iceland vs France

Ballbesittelse: 42% - 49% Kort: 3 - 2

0:1

25.03.19 Euro

France vs Iceland

Ballbesittelse: 47% - 51% Kort: 0 - 2

4:0

11.10.18 Friendly International

France vs Iceland

Ballbesittelse: 41% - 57% Kort: 1 - 0

2:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

France

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)

Angrepsstil Holde på ballen

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Iceland

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

France Sammenlign

Toppscorer Barcola B.

1 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 2.02

Snitt xA / kamp 1.31

Iceland Sammenlign

Toppscorer Gudjohnsen A.

1 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.8

Snitt xA / kamp 0.49

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

France 55 / 100

Iceland 24 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

France Iceland

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips France Win (1)

Sekundærtips France & Over 2.5

Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)

BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)

Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

France is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

France 62%

Iceland 19%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Iceland will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of France's attacks.

France 53%

Iceland 25%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect France to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

France 56%

Iceland 24%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see France vary their attacking width.

France 59%

Iceland 23%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Iceland, allowing France's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

France 50%

Iceland 26%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from France, while Iceland takes risks to salvage a result.

France 64%

Iceland 28%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

France angriper → ← angriper Iceland

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

France have found the net in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Iceland have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.

France remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Iceland suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

66 Poeng siste 5 34

2.63 Forventede mål (xG) 0.88

1.13 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0