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Stadium Background

France vs Italy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stade de France, Paris - Saint-Denis
France Logo

France

1 - 1
Slutt
Italy Logo

Italy

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

54'
Fagioli N.
55' Event
Olise M.
Assist: Cherki R.
62'
Bytte
Tonali S. Inn: Barella N.
Ut: Tonali S.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

The UEFA Nations League game between France and Italy finished 1-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
France
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Italy
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Italy haven't matched France's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.2%
France Rent bur 20%
Italy Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk France Italy
Kamper Spilt 35 31
Seire 24 18
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 6 8
Mål Scoret 2.2 1.94
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.06 1.26
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 1.10
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

2. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
France vs Italy
1:1
17. nov. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs France
1:3
6. sep. 2024 UEFA Nations League
France vs Italy
1:3
1. juni 2018 Friendly International
France vs Italy
3:1
1. sep. 2016 Friendly International
Italy vs France
1:3

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

France Sammenlign

Toppscorer Olise M.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.35
Snitt xA / kamp 0.88

Italy Sammenlign

Toppscorer Bastoni A.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1
Snitt xA / kamp 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

France 32 / 100
Italy 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
France Italy

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Italy Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: France scored in 91% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Italy has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

France has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

France VS Italy
2.5 Mål scoret 1.57
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 1
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

France

(Home)
05 Oct
France
4 : 1
Belgium
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1
France
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1
France
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
Page 1 of 7

Italy

(Away)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)