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Stadium Background

Germany U17 W vs Norway U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2021
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Friendly International Women 2021 encounter between Germany U17 W and Norway U16 W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Germany U17 W averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Norway U16 W shows a form average of 2.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Germany U17 W, 0 wins for Norway U16 W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.09.21 ended in a 5:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.67 for Germany U17 W and 1.15 for Norway U16 W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Germany U17 W double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

49%
Germany U17 W
15%
Uavgjort
36%
Norway U16 W
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Germany U17 W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

75% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Germany U17 W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Norway U16 W.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.67 vs 1.15 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 63%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 78%
Over 2.5 Mål 63%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 19%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 52%
Germany U17 W Rent bur 21%
Norway U16 W Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 70%
Mål 2. omgang 74%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Germany U17 W Norway U16 W
Kamper Spilt 31 22
Seire 20 13
Uavgjort 4 2
Tap 7 7
Mål Scoret 1.77 2.23
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.84 1.86
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.00 1.67
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.63 1.33

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

16.09.21 Friendly International Women
Germany U17 W vs Norway U16 W
5:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Germany U17 W

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Norway U16 W

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Germany U17 W Sammenlign

Toppscorer Bender L.
2 Mål
Assister Steiner M.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.54
Snitt xA / kamp 1

Norway U16 W Sammenlign

Toppscorer Rasmussen L.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.52
Snitt xA / kamp 0.93

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Germany U17 W 48 / 100
Norway U16 W 34 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Germany U17 W Norway U16 W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Germany U17 W or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Germany U17 W 54%
Norway U16 W 29%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Germany U17 W 47%
Norway U16 W 38%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Germany U17 W 49%
Norway U16 W 36%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Germany U17 W 51%
Norway U16 W 34%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Germany U17 W 44%
Norway U16 W 40%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Germany U17 W 56%
Norway U16 W 41%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Germany U17 W angriper → ← angriper Norway U16 W

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Germany U17 W have found the net in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Norway U16 W have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 22 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 6.00 goals per match.

Germany U17 W remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Norway U16 W suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Friendly match context where both Germany U17 W and Norway U16 W will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

64 Poeng siste 5 41
2.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.67
0.63 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.33