Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Red Bull Arena

Slovakia

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

This World Championship 2026 encounter between Germany and Slovakia promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Germany averages 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Slovakia shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Germany, 2 wins for Slovakia, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.11.25 ended in a 6:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.38 for Germany and 1.00 for Slovakia, suggesting the primary value lies in the Germany double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

49%

Germany

15%

Uavgjort

36%

Slovakia

Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Germany

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

75% / Høy Sikkerhet

Germany har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Slovakia.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.38 vs 1.00 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 59%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 89%

Over 1.5 Mål 84%

Over 2.5 Mål 59%

Over 3.5 Mål 35%

Over 4.5 Mål 18%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 50%

Germany Rent bur 23%

Slovakia Rent bur 10%

Mål 1. omgang 76%

Mål 2. omgang 80%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Germany	Slovakia
Kamper Spilt	29	30
Seire	19	15
Uavgjort	4	5
Tap	6	10
Mål Scoret	2.55	1.5
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.03	1.23
Forventede Mål (xG)	2.88	1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	0.50	1.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

17.11.25 World Championship

Germany vs Slovakia

Ballbesittelse: 59% - 55% Kort: 3 - 1

6:0

04.09.25 World Championship

Slovakia vs Germany

Ballbesittelse: 59% - 43% Kort: 2 - 1

2:0

26.06.16 Euro

Germany vs Slovakia

Ballbesittelse: 40% - 53% Kort: 2 - 4

3:0

29.05.16 Friendly International

Germany vs Slovakia

Ballbesittelse: 46% - 48% Kort: 2 - 2

1:3

06.06.07 Euro

Germany vs Slovakia

Ballbesittelse: 53% - 49% Kort: 4 - 4

2:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Germany

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)

Angrepsstil Holde på ballen

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Slovakia

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)

Angrepsstil Holde på ballen

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Germany Sammenlign

Toppscorer Sane L.

2 Mål

Assister Woltemade N.

1 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 2.22

Snitt xA / kamp 1.44

Slovakia Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A

0 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 1.36

Snitt xA / kamp 0.83

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Germany 49 / 100

Slovakia 34 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Germany Slovakia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Germany or Draw (1X)

Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals

Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Germany 54%

Slovakia 29%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Germany 47%

Slovakia 38%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Germany 49%

Slovakia 36%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Germany 51%

Slovakia 34%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Germany 44%

Slovakia 40%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Germany 56%

Slovakia 41%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Germany angriper → ← angriper Slovakia

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Germany have found the net in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Slovakia have conceded at least one goal in 60% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.

Germany remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Slovakia suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

61 Poeng siste 5 50

2.88 Forventede mål (xG) 1.50

0.50 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0