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Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Jose Maria Paz, Chivilcoy
søn. 18. okt. 2026
VS
05:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Defensores de Vilelas have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Gimnasia Chivilcoy have conceded 0.66 and scored 0.9. Head-to-head, Gimnasia Chivilcoy have won 0 to Defensores de Vilelas's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 10. okt. 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.00, favoring Gimnasia Chivilcoy. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Defensores de Vilelas
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnasia Chivilcoy come out ahead of Defensores de Vilelas on wins alone.
  • Gimnasia Chivilcoy are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Gimnasia Chivilcoy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Rent bur 20%
Defensores de Vilelas Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Gimnasia Chivilcoy Defensores de Vilelas
Kamper Spilt 29 25
Seire 11 9
Uavgjort 10 5
Tap 8 11
Mål Scoret 0.9 1.44
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.66 1.52
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

10. okt. 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Gimnasia Chivilcoy 36 / 100
Defensores de Vilelas 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Defensores de Vilelas

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Gimnasia Chivilcoy found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensores de Vilelas let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Gimnasia Chivilcoy VS Defensores de Vilelas
0.75 Mål scoret 1.75
0.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

(Home)
10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0
Sol de America
Page 1 of 6

Defensores de Vilelas

(Away)
10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3
Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1
Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0
El Linqueno
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
Gimnasia Chivilcoy -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras 0
Juventud Antoniana 3
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM 2
San Martin Mendoza 0
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
Sol de America -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
Biblioteca Atenas -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -