Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Granicerul enters this Liga 1 2018 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 68%. Granicerul averages 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Sparta Chisinau shows a form average of 0.2 goals scored and 3.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Granicerul, 1 wins for Sparta Chisinau, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.08.19 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Granicerul and 1.44 for Sparta Chisinau, suggesting the primary value lies in the Granicerul double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Granicerul har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Sparta Chisinau.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.23 vs 1.44 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 71%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Granicerul | Sparta Chisinau |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 34 | 30 |
| Seire | 12 | 0 |
| Uavgjort | 1 | 3 |
| Tap | 21 | 27 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.18 | 0.23 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.97 | 3.77 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Granicerul
Sparta Chisinau
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Granicerul is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Sparta Chisinau will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Granicerul's attacks.
Expect Granicerul to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Granicerul vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Sparta Chisinau, allowing Granicerul's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Granicerul, while Sparta Chisinau takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Granicerul have found the net in 68% of their last 34 matches.
Sparta Chisinau have conceded at least one goal in 97% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.75 goals per match.
Granicerul remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Sparta Chisinau suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Codru Lozova | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 53:20 | 48 |
| 2 | Floresti | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 40:27 | 40 |
| 3 | Singerei | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 47:42 | 36 |
| 4 | Victoria | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 51:43 | 35 |
| 5 | Granicerul | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 43:35 | 34 |
| 6 | Saksan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 41:31 | 30 |
| 7 | FCM Ungheni | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 50:65 | 28 |
| 8 | Cahul | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 38:31 | 27 |
| 9 | Real Sireti | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 36:47 | 23 |
| 10 | Real Succes | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 49:75 | 22 |
| 11 | Sparta Chisinau | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 34:51 | 21 |
| 12 | Iskra Ribnita | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |