Sport Picks
Gretna 2008 vs Selkirk
Scotland
Lowland League 2018/2019 
Kampsammendrag
Gretna 2008 enters this Lowland League 2018/2019 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 66%. Gretna 2008 averages 1.6 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. Selkirk shows a form average of 0.0 goals scored and 7.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Gretna 2008, 2 wins for Selkirk, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.02.19 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.48 for Gretna 2008 and 1.88 for Selkirk, suggesting the primary value lies in the Gretna 2008 double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Gretna 2008 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Selkirk.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.48 vs 1.88 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 68%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Gretna 2008 | Selkirk |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 39 | 3 |
| Seire | 13 | 0 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 0 |
| Tap | 18 | 3 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.59 | 0 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.1 | 7.67 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Gretna 2008
Selkirk
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Gretna 2008 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Selkirk will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Gretna 2008's attacks.
Expect Gretna 2008 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Gretna 2008 vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Selkirk, allowing Gretna 2008's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Gretna 2008, while Selkirk takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Gretna 2008 have found the net in 79% of their last 39 matches.
Selkirk have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 3 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.
Gretna 2008 remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Selkirk suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Kilbride | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 66:12 | 72 |
| 2 | Broomhill | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 67:29 | 61 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 61:32 | 54 |
| 4 | Spartans | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 63:31 | 51 |
| 5 | Civil Service Strollers | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 51:38 | 49 |
| 6 | East Stirlingshire | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 57:47 | 39 |
| 7 | Cumbernauld Colts | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 40:47 | 39 |
| 8 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 43:48 | 34 |
| 9 | Caledonian Braves | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:52 | 33 |
| 10 | Stirling University | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 43:50 | 31 |
| 11 | Edinburgh University | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 38:54 | 30 |
| 12 | Gretna 2008 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 17 | 42:67 | 29 |
| 13 | Vale Of Leithen | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 43:74 | 29 |
| 14 | Dalbeattie Star | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 33:63 | 22 |
| 15 | Whitehill Welfare | 28 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 24:70 | 12 |
| 16 | Selkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |