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Guadalupe vs Sporting FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Copa Costa Rica Estadio Coyella Fonseca
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Copa Costa Rica encounter between Guadalupe and Sporting FC promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Guadalupe averages 0.9 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Sporting FC shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Guadalupe, 2 wins for Sporting FC, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.03.26 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.88 for Guadalupe and 1.75 for Sporting FC, suggesting the primary value lies in the Sporting FC double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

21%
Guadalupe
35%
Uavgjort
44%
Sporting FC
Uavgjort-prognose: 35% Favoritt: Sporting FC

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

80% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Guadalupe har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Sporting FC.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.88 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%
Over 1.5 Mål 74%
Over 2.5 Mål 52%
Over 3.5 Mål 31%
Over 4.5 Mål 16%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 53%
Guadalupe Rent bur 12%
Sporting FC Rent bur 17%
Mål 1. omgang 67%
Mål 2. omgang 70%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Guadalupe Sporting FC
Kamper Spilt 30 31
Seire 4 12
Uavgjort 10 8
Tap 16 11
Mål Scoret 0.87 1.23
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.03 1.13
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.50 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

21.03.26 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Sporting FC
0:0
09.02.26 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Guadalupe
1:1
21.10.25 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Sporting FC
2:2
01.10.25 Copa Costa Rica
Guadalupe vs Sporting FC
1:3
24.09.25 Copa Costa Rica
Sporting FC vs Guadalupe
4:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Guadalupe

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sporting FC

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Guadalupe Sammenlign

Toppscorer Monge J.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.38
Snitt xA / kamp 0.25

Sporting FC Sammenlign

Toppscorer Ramirez D.
2 Mål
Assister Coronado F.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.77

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Guadalupe 21 / 100
Sporting FC 43 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Guadalupe Sporting FC

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Sporting FC or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Sporting FC will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Guadalupe 23%
Sporting FC 35%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Guadalupe will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Sporting FC's early runs.

Guadalupe 20%
Sporting FC 46%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Sporting FC to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Guadalupe tries to push forward.

Guadalupe 21%
Sporting FC 44%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments will see Sporting FC increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Guadalupe 22%
Sporting FC 42%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Guadalupe's defense, opening up opportunities for Sporting FC's forward line.

Guadalupe 19%
Sporting FC 48%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect Sporting FC to manage the closing stages, while Guadalupe searches for late drama.

Guadalupe 24%
Sporting FC 51%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Guadalupe angriper → ← angriper Sporting FC

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Guadalupe have found the net in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Sporting FC have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Guadalupe remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sporting FC suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

22 Poeng siste 5 44
0.50 Forventede mål (xG) 1.38
2.13 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.25