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Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Gyeongju Civic Stadium
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This K3 League encounter between Gyeongju KHNP and Yeoju Citizen promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Gyeongju KHNP averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Yeoju Citizen shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Gyeongju KHNP, 3 wins for Yeoju Citizen, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 23.05.26 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.00 for Gyeongju KHNP and 1.13 for Yeoju Citizen, suggesting the primary value lies in the Yeoju Citizen double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

33%
Gyeongju KHNP
33%
Uavgjort
34%
Yeoju Citizen
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Yeoju Citizen

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

69% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Gyeongju KHNP har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Yeoju Citizen.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.00 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 67%
Over 2.5 Mål 44%
Over 3.5 Mål 26%
Over 4.5 Mål 13%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 56%
Gyeongju KHNP Rent bur 21%
Yeoju Citizen Rent bur 15%
Mål 1. omgang 60%
Mål 2. omgang 64%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Gyeongju KHNP Yeoju Citizen
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 8 9
Uavgjort 13 9
Tap 8 11
Mål Scoret 1.31 1.24
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.28 1.38
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 0.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23.05.26 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen
0:0
01.11.25 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen
0:1
22.06.25 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:0
28.07.24 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen
0:2
14.04.24 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:5

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Gyeongju KHNP

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Yeoju Citizen

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Gyeongju KHNP 34 / 100
Yeoju Citizen 34 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Gyeongju KHNP Yeoju Citizen

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Yeoju Citizen or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Gyeongju KHNP 36%
Yeoju Citizen 27%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Gyeongju KHNP 31%
Yeoju Citizen 36%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Gyeongju KHNP 33%
Yeoju Citizen 34%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Gyeongju KHNP 35%
Yeoju Citizen 32%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Gyeongju KHNP 30%
Yeoju Citizen 37%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Gyeongju KHNP 38%
Yeoju Citizen 39%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Gyeongju KHNP angriper → ← angriper Yeoju Citizen

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Gyeongju KHNP have found the net in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Yeoju Citizen have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Gyeongju KHNP remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Yeoju Citizen suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

37 Poeng siste 5 36
1.13 Forventede mål (xG) 0.63
1.63 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Siheung Citizen16124024:1240
2Pocheon16104229:1434
3Daejeon Korail1694327:1131
4Busan Kyotong1676324:1327
5Changwon1666417:1524
6Dangjin Citizen1663726:2521
7Yeoju Citizen1656520:2121
8Gangneung1654714:2419
9Chuncheon1644829:2816
10Gyeongju KHNP1637622:2416
11Ulsan Citizen1644816:1916
12Yangpyeong1627715:2713
13Mokpo1619612:2412
14Jeonbuk 21616917:359