Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Hammam-Lif enters this Ligue 2 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Hammam-Lif averages 1.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded in recent matches. US Tataouine shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Both back lines have been highly organized and defensive lately, suggesting a tight, low-scoring matchup where details will decide the outcome. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Hammam-Lif, 2 wins for US Tataouine, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.04.26 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Hammam-Lif and 1.00 for US Tataouine, suggesting the primary value lies in the Hammam-Lif double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Hammam-Lif har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med US Tataouine.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Hammam-Lif | US Tataouine |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 30 |
| Seire | 17 | 16 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 6 |
| Tap | 6 | 8 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.34 | 1.33 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.52 | 0.8 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Hammam-Lif
US Tataouine
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Hammam-Lif Sammenlign
US Tataouine Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Hammam-Lif is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
US Tataouine will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Hammam-Lif's attacks.
Expect Hammam-Lif to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Hammam-Lif vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for US Tataouine, allowing Hammam-Lif's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Hammam-Lif, while US Tataouine takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Hammam-Lif have found the net in 34% of their last 29 matches.
US Tataouine have conceded at least one goal in 43% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.
Hammam-Lif remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
US Tataouine suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |