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Hapoel Afula vs Yehuda

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Leumit League 2025/2026 encounter between Hapoel Afula and Yehuda promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Hapoel Afula averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Yehuda shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Hapoel Afula, 2 wins for Yehuda, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 27.03.26 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.06 for Hapoel Afula and 1.50 for Yehuda, suggesting the primary value lies in the Yehuda double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

33%
Hapoel Afula
30%
Uavgjort
37%
Yehuda
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Yehuda

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Hapoel Afula har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Yehuda.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.06 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 68%
Over 2.5 Mål 45%
Over 3.5 Mål 27%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 58%
Hapoel Afula Rent bur 16%
Yehuda Rent bur 14%
Mål 1. omgang 61%
Mål 2. omgang 65%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Hapoel Afula Yehuda
Kamper Spilt 30 31
Seire 11 15
Uavgjort 9 11
Tap 10 5
Mål Scoret 1.2 1.52
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.43 1.1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

27.03.26 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Yehuda
0:1
31.10.25 Leumit League
Yehuda vs Hapoel Afula
0:1
31.01.25 Leumit League
Yehuda vs Hapoel Afula
0:1
30.09.24 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Yehuda
2:2
22.03.24 Leumit League
Yehuda vs Hapoel Afula
4:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Hapoel Afula

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Yehuda

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Hapoel Afula Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.77
Snitt xA / kamp 0.5

Yehuda Sammenlign

Toppscorer Dror S.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.48
Snitt xA / kamp 0.91

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 33 / 100
Yehuda 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Hapoel Afula Yehuda

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Yehuda or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Hapoel Afula 36%
Yehuda 30%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Hapoel Afula 31%
Yehuda 39%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Hapoel Afula 33%
Yehuda 37%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Hapoel Afula 35%
Yehuda 35%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Hapoel Afula 30%
Yehuda 41%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Hapoel Afula 38%
Yehuda 43%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Hapoel Afula angriper → ← angriper Yehuda

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Hapoel Afula have found the net in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Yehuda have conceded at least one goal in 65% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Hapoel Afula remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Yehuda suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

42 Poeng siste 5 56
1.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.63
1.38 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823