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Happy Valley vs Kitchee - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2020/2021
søn. 7. mars 2021
VS
07:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup 2020/2021. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kitchee have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Happy Valley have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.42. Past meetings favor Kitchee slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 16. apr. 2021, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.29 - 1.61) back Kitchee to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Happy Valley
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Kitchee
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Kitchee

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Happy Valley haven't matched Kitchee's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kitchee's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Kitchee arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kitchee, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
Happy Valley Rent bur 14%
Kitchee Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Happy Valley Kitchee
Kamper Spilt 31 38
Seire 7 26
Uavgjort 10 7
Tap 14 5
Mål Scoret 1.42 2.79
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.77 1.16
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.29 1.61
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

16. apr. 2021 Premier League
Happy Valley vs Kitchee
1:3
7. mars 2021 FA Cup
Happy Valley vs Kitchee
0:0
29. nov. 2020 Premier League
Kitchee vs Happy Valley
1:1
11. okt. 2020 Premier League
Happy Valley vs Kitchee
0:4
30. aug. 2019 Premier League
Kitchee vs Happy Valley
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Happy Valley 27 / 100
Kitchee 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Happy Valley Kitchee

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Kitchee Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Happy Valley's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Kitchee has conceded goals in 61% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Happy Valley went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

- VS Kitchee
0 Mål scoret 2.13
0 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Happy Valley

(Home)
30 May
Hong Kong Rangers
3 : 3
Happy Valley
22 May
Happy Valley
7 : 2
Resources Capital
16 May
Southern District
2 : 1
Happy Valley
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 1
Happy Valley
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 7

Kitchee

(Away)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
06 Sept
Kitchee
4 : 1
Eastern District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pegasus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Hong Kong Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Resources Capital 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Lee Man Warriors 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - FA Cup 2020/2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Happy Valley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Eastern AA 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Southern District 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - FA Cup 2020/2021 (Play Offs)