Sport Picks
Hercilio Luz vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kampsammendrag
The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Barra FC (Santa Catarina) have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Hercilio Luz have conceded 1.04 and scored 1.82. Past meetings favor Barra FC (Santa Catarina) slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 29. jan. 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.19) point toward Hercilio Luz. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Look at the last few games and Hercilio Luz come out ahead of Barra FC (Santa Catarina) on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Hercilio Luz's way, sitting at 60%.
- Hercilio Luz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Barra FC (Santa Catarina), who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Hercilio Luz | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 32 |
| Seire | 17 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 10 |
| Tap | 7 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.82 | 1.06 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.04 | 1.03 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Hercilio Luz's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Hercilio Luz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Hercilio Luz
(Home)Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 9 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |