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Hertha Zehlendorf vs Pampow

Tyskland Tyskland

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2022/2023
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2022/2023 encounter between Hertha Zehlendorf and Pampow promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Hertha Zehlendorf averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.3 conceded in recent matches. Pampow shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Hertha Zehlendorf, 0 wins for Pampow, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 04.06.23 ended in a 4:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for Hertha Zehlendorf and 1.06 for Pampow, suggesting the primary value lies in the Hertha Zehlendorf double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

39%
Hertha Zehlendorf
27%
Uavgjort
34%
Pampow
Uavgjort-prognose: 27% Favoritt: Hertha Zehlendorf

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Hertha Zehlendorf har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Pampow.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 72%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 91%
Over 2.5 Mål 72%
Over 3.5 Mål 43%
Over 4.5 Mål 22%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67%
Hertha Zehlendorf Rent bur 22%
Pampow Rent bur 12%
Mål 1. omgang 82%
Mål 2. omgang 86%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Hertha Zehlendorf Pampow
Kamper Spilt 29 30
Seire 5 6
Uavgjort 6 7
Tap 18 17
Mål Scoret 1.41 1.47
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.28 2.63

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

04.06.23 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Pampow
4:2
21.01.23 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Pampow vs Hertha Zehlendorf
2:2
13.03.22 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Pampow
3:2
08.08.21 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Pampow vs Hertha Zehlendorf
0:2
28.02.21 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Pampow
0:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Hertha Zehlendorf

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Pampow

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Hertha Zehlendorf Sammenlign

Toppscorer Ihbe M.
1 Mål
Assister Didoss G.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.87
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56

Pampow Sammenlign

Toppscorer Acimovic N.
1 Mål
Assister Camkins V.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0
Snitt xA / kamp 0

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Hertha Zehlendorf 40 / 100
Pampow 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Hertha Zehlendorf Pampow

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Hertha Zehlendorf or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Hertha Zehlendorf 43%
Pampow 27%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Hertha Zehlendorf 37%
Pampow 36%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Hertha Zehlendorf 39%
Pampow 34%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Hertha Zehlendorf 41%
Pampow 32%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Hertha Zehlendorf 35%
Pampow 37%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Hertha Zehlendorf 45%
Pampow 39%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Hertha Zehlendorf angriper → ← angriper Pampow

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Hertha Zehlendorf have found the net in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Pampow have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.40 goals per match.

Hertha Zehlendorf remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Pampow suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

21 Poeng siste 5 25
1.13 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
1.13 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hansa Rostock II34256394:2881
2Rostocker FC34223977:3869
3TUS Makkabi34207773:3267
4Hertha Zehlendorf34188871:4062
5Rsv Eintracht341512756:5357
6CFC Hertha341471348:4449
7Blau Weiss Berlin341461459:6048
8Dynamo Schwerin341391248:5448
9TSG Neustrelitz341381355:5447
10Furstenwalde3412111148:5647
11Mahlsdorf3411131048:5246
12SV Tasmania Berlin341161745:6139
13Rathenow34971842:6034
14SC Staaken34891746:6133
15Neuruppin347111643:5732
161.FC Frankfurt34942143:7231
17Pampow34791851:8330
18FSV Schwerin34842247:8928