Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2022/2023 encounter between Hertha Zehlendorf and Pampow promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Hertha Zehlendorf averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.3 conceded in recent matches. Pampow shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Hertha Zehlendorf, 0 wins for Pampow, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 04.06.23 ended in a 4:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for Hertha Zehlendorf and 1.06 for Pampow, suggesting the primary value lies in the Hertha Zehlendorf double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Hertha Zehlendorf har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Pampow.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 72%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Hertha Zehlendorf | Pampow |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 30 |
| Seire | 5 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 7 |
| Tap | 18 | 17 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.41 | 1.47 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.28 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Hertha Zehlendorf
Pampow
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Hertha Zehlendorf Sammenlign
Pampow Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Hertha Zehlendorf have found the net in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Pampow have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.40 goals per match.
Hertha Zehlendorf remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Pampow suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hansa Rostock II | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 94:28 | 81 |
| 2 | Rostocker FC | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 77:38 | 69 |
| 3 | TUS Makkabi | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 73:32 | 67 |
| 4 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:40 | 62 |
| 5 | Rsv Eintracht | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 56:53 | 57 |
| 6 | CFC Hertha | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:44 | 49 |
| 7 | Blau Weiss Berlin | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 59:60 | 48 |
| 8 | Dynamo Schwerin | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48:54 | 48 |
| 9 | TSG Neustrelitz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:54 | 47 |
| 10 | Furstenwalde | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Mahlsdorf | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 48:52 | 46 |
| 12 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Rathenow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:60 | 34 |
| 14 | SC Staaken | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 46:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Neuruppin | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 43:57 | 32 |
| 16 | 1.FC Frankfurt | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 43:72 | 31 |
| 17 | Pampow | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 51:83 | 30 |
| 18 | FSV Schwerin | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 47:89 | 28 |