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Stadium Background

Hertha Zehlendorf vs Strausberg

Tyskland Tyskland

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2020/2021
søn. 7. mars 2021
VS
01:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2020/2021 encounter between Hertha Zehlendorf and Strausberg promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Hertha Zehlendorf averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded in recent matches. Strausberg shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Hertha Zehlendorf, 1 wins for Strausberg, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 07.03.21 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for Hertha Zehlendorf and 1.06 for Strausberg, suggesting the primary value lies in the Strausberg double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Hertha Zehlendorf
16%
Uavgjort
54%
Strausberg
Uavgjort-prognose: 16% Favoritt: Strausberg

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

80% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Hertha Zehlendorf har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Strausberg.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 65%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 85%
Over 2.5 Mål 65%
Over 3.5 Mål 39%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 63%
Hertha Zehlendorf Rent bur 22%
Strausberg Rent bur 12%
Mål 1. omgang 77%
Mål 2. omgang 81%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Hertha Zehlendorf Strausberg
Kamper Spilt 28 7
Seire 4 3
Uavgjort 5 0
Tap 19 4
Mål Scoret 1.29 1.43
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.32 1.71

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

07.03.21 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Strausberg
0:0
21.10.20 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Strausberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf
3:1
01.03.20 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Strausberg
2:0
25.08.19 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Strausberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf
2:4
12.05.19 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Strausberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf
0:3

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Hertha Zehlendorf

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Strausberg

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Hertha Zehlendorf 31 / 100
Strausberg 51 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Hertha Zehlendorf Strausberg

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Strausberg Win (2)
Sekundærtips Strausberg & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Strausberg will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Hertha Zehlendorf 33%
Strausberg 43%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Hertha Zehlendorf will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Strausberg's early runs.

Hertha Zehlendorf 29%
Strausberg 57%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Strausberg to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Hertha Zehlendorf tries to push forward.

Hertha Zehlendorf 30%
Strausberg 54%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments will see Strausberg increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Hertha Zehlendorf 32%
Strausberg 51%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Hertha Zehlendorf's defense, opening up opportunities for Strausberg's forward line.

Hertha Zehlendorf 27%
Strausberg 59%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect Strausberg to manage the closing stages, while Hertha Zehlendorf searches for late drama.

Hertha Zehlendorf 35%
Strausberg 62%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Hertha Zehlendorf angriper → ← angriper Strausberg

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Hertha Zehlendorf have found the net in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Strausberg have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 7 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Hertha Zehlendorf remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Strausberg suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

17 Poeng siste 5 9
1.13 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
1.13 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00