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Hienghene Sport vs Rewa

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2022
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This OFC Champions League 2022 encounter between Hienghene Sport and Rewa promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Hienghene Sport averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Rewa shows a form average of 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Hienghene Sport, 0 wins for Rewa, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.08.22 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.72 for Hienghene Sport and 1.68 for Rewa, suggesting the primary value lies in the Rewa double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Hienghene Sport
17%
Uavgjort
47%
Rewa
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Rewa

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

74% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Hienghene Sport har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Rewa.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.72 vs 1.68 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 61%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 61%
Over 3.5 Mål 37%
Over 4.5 Mål 18%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 52%
Hienghene Sport Rent bur 13%
Rewa Rent bur 19%
Mål 1. omgang 74%
Mål 2. omgang 78%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Hienghene Sport Rewa
Kamper Spilt 26 34
Seire 9 21
Uavgjort 4 6
Tap 13 7
Mål Scoret 1.31 2.18
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.96 0.91

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

11.08.22 OFC Champions League
Hienghene Sport vs Rewa
2:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Hienghene Sport

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Rewa

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Hienghene Sport Sammenlign

Toppscorer Ranchain F.
1 Mål
Assister Athale J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0
Snitt xA / kamp 0

Rewa Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.05
Snitt xA / kamp 1.25

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Hienghene Sport 35 / 100
Rewa 46 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Hienghene Sport Rewa

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Rewa or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Hienghene Sport 40%
Rewa 38%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Hienghene Sport 34%
Rewa 49%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Hienghene Sport 36%
Rewa 47%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Hienghene Sport 38%
Rewa 45%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Hienghene Sport 32%
Rewa 52%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Hienghene Sport 41%
Rewa 54%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Hienghene Sport angriper → ← angriper Rewa

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Hienghene Sport have found the net in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Rewa have conceded at least one goal in 62% of their last 34 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Hienghene Sport remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Rewa suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Continental tournament fixture. Elite European competition dynamics apply, with massive stakes for both clubs.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

31 Poeng siste 5 69
0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 2.25
0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Venus32014:16
2Central Coast32016:66
3ABM Galaxy31114:54
4Lae City30124:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Auckland City330012:19
2Hienghene Sport32013:56
3Rewa31023:63
4Nikao30032:80