Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hinckley vs Redditch

England England

Southern Premier League 2013/2014
man. 21. apr. 2014
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Hinckley host Redditch in the Southern Premier League 2013/2014. Little to choose between these two on current form. Redditch have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Hinckley have conceded 2.67 and scored 1.67. Head-to-head, Hinckley have won 3 to Redditch's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on 12. sep. 2015, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.55, favoring Redditch. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Hinckley
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Redditch
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Redditch come out ahead of Hinckley on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Southern Premier League 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.6%
Hinckley Rent bur 15%
Redditch Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Hinckley Redditch
Kamper Spilt 3 34
Seire 1 15
Uavgjort 0 11
Tap 2 8
Mål Scoret 1.67 1.71
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.67 1.18
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.29 1.55
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

12. sep. 2015 FA Cup
Hinckley vs Redditch
2:1
21. apr. 2014 Southern Premier League
Hinckley vs Redditch
0:0
1. jan. 2014 Southern Premier League
Redditch vs Hinckley
0:0
26. mars 2011 National League North
Hinckley vs Redditch
4:0
8. jan. 2011 National League North
Redditch vs Hinckley
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Hinckley 31 / 100
Redditch 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Hinckley Redditch

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Hinckley found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (3 games).

Redditch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Hinckley stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

- VS Redditch
0 Mål scoret 2
0 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hinckley

(Home)
02 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Hinckley
26 Sept
Chasetown
5 : 2
Hinckley
12 Sept
Hinckley
2 : 1
Redditch

Redditch

(Away)
05 Sept
Malvern Town
1 : 1
Redditch
31 Aug
Redditch
3 : 1
Halesowen
29 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1
Redditch
22 Aug
Redditch
1 : 2
Bromsgrove
15 Aug
Hitchin
1 : 1
Redditch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemel Hempstead 44 32 6 6 128:38 102
2 Chesham 44 29 5 10 102:47 92
3 Cambridge City 44 27 7 10 95:49 88
4 St. Albans 44 25 10 9 89:49 85
5 Stourbridge 44 26 6 12 114:54 84
6 Hungerford 44 26 6 12 83:45 84
7 Poole Town 44 25 10 9 82:48 82
8 Bideford 44 18 13 13 75:64 67
9 Biggleswade Town 44 16 16 12 85:61 64
10 Redditch 44 20 3 21 68:85 63
11 Corby 44 18 6 20 65:68 60
12 Weymouth 44 18 6 20 69:80 60
13 Hitchin 44 16 11 17 63:52 59
14 Frome Town 44 16 9 19 63:74 57
15 Arlesey 44 15 10 19 68:79 55
16 Neots 44 15 9 20 74:76 54
17 Truro 44 15 9 20 68:84 54
18 Chippenham Town 44 14 6 24 59:87 48
19 Banbury 44 14 5 25 64:116 47
20 Burnham FC 44 12 8 24 60:91 44
21 AFC Totton 44 10 7 27 58:119 37
22 Bedford 44 6 6 32 46:114 24
23 Bashley 44 4 4 36 33:131 16
Promotion - Vanarama Conference South 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)