Sport Picks
Holywell Town FC vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell 
Kamphendelser
13'
13'
Bradley S.
35'
35'
Clarke Z.
45'
45'
Murtas F.
Kampsammendrag
Caernarfon in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caernarfon.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
4%
6%
90%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Caernarfon
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Holywell Town FC haven't matched Caernarfon's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Caernarfon taking it.
- Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors Caernarfon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Holywell Town FC Rent bur 10%
Caernarfon Rent bur 12%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Holywell Town FC | Caernarfon |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 8 | 15 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 4 |
| Tap | 15 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.83 | 2.07 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.34 | 1.48 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.19 | 3.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
28. aug. 2026 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Caernarfon
3:5
10. sep. 2025 League Cup
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
3:2
24. mars 2018 Cymru Alliance
Holywell Town FC vs Caernarfon
1:1
18. nov. 2017 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
4:2
18. mars 2017 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
6:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Holywell Town FC Sammenlign
Toppscorer Murtas F.
1 Mål Assister Hughes C.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.92
Snitt xA / kamp 0.59
Caernarfon Sammenlign
Toppscorer Clarke Z.
3 Mål Assister Bradley S.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.95
Snitt xA / kamp 1.81
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
Caernarfon 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Holywell Town FC Caernarfon
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Caernarfon Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Holywell Town FC scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.
Caernarfon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Holywell Town FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Holywell Town FC VS Caernarfon
1.13 Mål scoret 3.63
2.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Holywell Town FC
(Home) 09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6 TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6 TNS
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 3
Caernarfon
(Away) 09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2 Caernarfon
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2 Caernarfon
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1 Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5 Caernarfon
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44:6 | 37 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:33 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:23 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford Town | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:32 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:25 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:31 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14:44 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
