Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hornchurch vs Worthing FC

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

24' Event
Rees J.
33' Event
Poleon D.
49' Event
Jenks T.

Kampsammendrag

The National League South 2025/2026 game between Hornchurch and Worthing FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hornchurch.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Hornchurch
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Worthing FC
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Hornchurch

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Hornchurch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hornchurch are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
Hornchurch Rent bur 20%
Worthing FC Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Hornchurch Worthing FC
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 14 13
Uavgjort 7 8
Tap 8 7
Mål Scoret 1.75 1.5
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.5 0.63
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

28. feb. 2026 National League South
Hornchurch vs Worthing FC
2:1
29. nov. 2025 National League South
Worthing FC vs Hornchurch
5:0
25. mars 2025 National League South
Hornchurch vs Worthing FC
1:0
7. sep. 2024 National League South
Worthing FC vs Hornchurch
0:0
22. jan. 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Worthing FC vs Hornchurch
1:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Hornchurch Sammenlign

Toppscorer Rees J.
1 Mål
Assister Poleon D.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.35
Snitt xA / kamp 0.88

Worthing FC Sammenlign

Toppscorer Jenks T.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.36
Snitt xA / kamp 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Hornchurch 40 / 100
Worthing FC 27 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Hornchurch Worthing FC

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips HOR Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Hornchurch found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Worthing FC conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hornchurch stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Hornchurch VS Worthing FC
1.75 Mål scoret 1.5
0.5 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hornchurch

(Home)
28 Jul
Enfield Town
4 : 2
Hornchurch
25 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 1
Tottenham U21
21 Jul
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
18 Jul
Hornchurch
1 : 1
Norwich U21
14 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Millwall U21
Page 1 of 6

Worthing FC

(Away)
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Brighton U21
24 Jul
Enfield Town
1 : 1
Worthing FC
21 Jul
Worthing FC
1 : 0
QPR U21
18 Jul
Frome Town
1 : 1
Worthing FC
10 Jul
Bournemouth U21
2 : 2
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)