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Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Pasto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
fre. 21. aug. 2026
VS
01:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ind. Medellin have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.19 conceded recently, against Dep. Pasto's 1.21 scored and 1.55 conceded. Past meetings favor Ind. Medellin slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 10. sep. 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.81 - 1.13) back Ind. Medellin to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Ind. Medellin
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Dep. Pasto
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Ind. Medellin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Ind. Medellin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ind. Medellin, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Ind. Medellin Rent bur 20%
Dep. Pasto Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Ind. Medellin Dep. Pasto
Kamper Spilt 26 29
Seire 13 9
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 8 15
Mål Scoret 1.46 1.21
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.19 1.55
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.81 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

10. sep. 2026 Copa Colombia
Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin
1:4
21. aug. 2026 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Pasto
0:0
25. juli 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Pasto
3:2
18. jan. 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin
1:0
19. aug. 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Ind. Medellin 31 / 100
Dep. Pasto 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Ind. Medellin Dep. Pasto

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Ind. Medellin Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Ind. Medellin scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Dep. Pasto has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Ind. Medellin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Ind. Medellin VS Dep. Pasto
2 Mål scoret 0.88
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Medellin

(Home)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Millonarios
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pasto

(Away)
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Inter Bogotá 2
Real Cundinamarca 1
Quindio 1
Llaneros 2
Barranquilla 2
Millonarios 1
America De Cali 4
Dep. Pereira 1
Atl. Nacional 3
Dep. Cali 0
Dep. Pasto 1
Ind. Medellin 4
Once Caldas 1
Alianza 0
Santa Fe -
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. -
Quarter-finals
Inter Bogotá -
Llaneros -
Barranquilla -
America De Cali -
Atl. Nacional -
Ind. Medellin -
Once Caldas -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -