Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iraklis Thermaikou vs Panthrakikos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 encounter between Iraklis Thermaikou and Panthrakikos promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Iraklis Thermaikou averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Panthrakikos shows a form average of 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Both back lines have been highly organized and defensive lately, suggesting a tight, low-scoring matchup where details will decide the outcome. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Iraklis Thermaikou, 2 wins for Panthrakikos, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.03.26 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.88 for Iraklis Thermaikou and 1.81 for Panthrakikos, suggesting the primary value lies in the Panthrakikos double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

33%
Iraklis Thermaikou
24%
Uavgjort
43%
Panthrakikos
Uavgjort-prognose: 24% Favoritt: Panthrakikos

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

73% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Iraklis Thermaikou har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Panthrakikos.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.88 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 44%
Over 3.5 Mål 26%
Over 4.5 Mål 13%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 44%
Iraklis Thermaikou Rent bur 11%
Panthrakikos Rent bur 17%
Mål 1. omgang 74%
Mål 2. omgang 78%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Iraklis Thermaikou Panthrakikos
Kamper Spilt 27 32
Seire 13 23
Uavgjort 9 3
Tap 5 6
Mål Scoret 1.37 2.44
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.78 0.81
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 3.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

22.03.26 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs Panthrakikos
0:2
15.02.26 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Panthrakikos vs Iraklis Thermaikou
2:0
16.11.25 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs Panthrakikos
2:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Iraklis Thermaikou

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Panthrakikos

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Iraklis Thermaikou 32 / 100
Panthrakikos 42 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Iraklis Thermaikou Panthrakikos

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Panthrakikos or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Iraklis Thermaikou 36%
Panthrakikos 34%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Iraklis Thermaikou 31%
Panthrakikos 45%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Iraklis Thermaikou 33%
Panthrakikos 43%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Iraklis Thermaikou 35%
Panthrakikos 41%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Iraklis Thermaikou 30%
Panthrakikos 47%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Iraklis Thermaikou 38%
Panthrakikos 49%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Iraklis Thermaikou angriper → ← angriper Panthrakikos

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Iraklis Thermaikou have found the net in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Panthrakikos have conceded at least one goal in 53% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.67 goals per match.

Iraklis Thermaikou remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Panthrakikos suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

48 Poeng siste 5 72
1.25 Forventede mål (xG) 3.00
0.63 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panthrakikos27203467:2063
2Xanthi27159360:1854
3Doxa Dramas27164748:3352
4Iraklis Thermaikou27139537:2148
5Poseidonas Michanionas27910834:3737
6Aetos Ofryniou271031441:5633