Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ireland vs Armenia

World World

World Championship 2026 Aviva Stadium
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Ireland enters this World Championship 2026 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Ireland averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Armenia shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Ireland, 2 wins for Armenia, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.10.25 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.00 for Ireland and 0.88 for Armenia, suggesting the primary value lies in the Ireland double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Ireland
15%
Uavgjort
25%
Armenia
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Ireland

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

86% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Ireland har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Armenia.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.00 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%
Over 1.5 Mål 73%
Over 2.5 Mål 48%
Over 3.5 Mål 29%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 50%
Ireland Rent bur 25%
Armenia Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 66%
Mål 2. omgang 69%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Ireland Armenia
Kamper Spilt 30 29
Seire 11 4
Uavgjort 7 6
Tap 12 19
Mål Scoret 1.13 0.9
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.23 2.17
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 0.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.25 2.63

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14.10.25 World Championship
Ireland vs Armenia
1:0
09.09.25 World Championship
Armenia vs Ireland
2:1
27.09.22 UEFA Nations League
Ireland vs Armenia
3:2
04.06.22 UEFA Nations League
Armenia vs Ireland
1:0
11.10.11 Euro
Ireland vs Armenia
2:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Ireland

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Armenia

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Ireland Sammenlign

Toppscorer Ferguson E.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

Armenia Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.45
Snitt xA / kamp 0.28

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Ireland 59 / 100
Armenia 25 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Ireland Armenia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Ireland Win (1)
Sekundærtips Ireland & Under 3.5
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Ireland is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Ireland 66%
Armenia 20%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Armenia will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Ireland's attacks.

Ireland 57%
Armenia 26%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Ireland to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Ireland 60%
Armenia 25%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Ireland vary their attacking width.

Ireland 63%
Armenia 24%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Armenia, allowing Ireland's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Ireland 54%
Armenia 28%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Ireland, while Armenia takes risks to salvage a result.

Ireland 69%
Armenia 29%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Ireland angriper → ← angriper Armenia

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Ireland have found the net in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Armenia have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Ireland remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Armenia suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

40 Poeng siste 5 18
1.38 Forventede mål (xG) 0.50
1.25 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280