Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Israel U19 vs Serbia U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2025 Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Euro U19 2025 encounter between Israel U19 and Serbia U19 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Israel U19 averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Serbia U19 shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Israel U19, 2 wins for Serbia U19, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.03.25 ended in a 2:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.48 for Israel U19 and 1.59 for Serbia U19, suggesting the primary value lies in the Serbia U19 double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

34%
Israel U19
27%
Uavgjort
39%
Serbia U19
Uavgjort-prognose: 27% Favoritt: Serbia U19

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Israel U19 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Serbia U19.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.48 vs 1.59 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 66%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 87%
Over 2.5 Mål 66%
Over 3.5 Mål 40%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65%
Israel U19 Rent bur 14%
Serbia U19 Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 78%
Mål 2. omgang 83%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Israel U19 Serbia U19
Kamper Spilt 28 29
Seire 10 14
Uavgjort 8 4
Tap 10 11
Mål Scoret 1.75 2
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.25 1.76
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.71 1.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.43 1.25

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19.03.25 Euro U19
Israel U19 vs Serbia U19
2:3
25.03.23 Euro U19
Serbia U19 vs Israel U19
1:3
19.06.22 Euro U19
Serbia U19 vs Israel U19
2:2
06.09.19 Friendly International
Serbia U19 vs Israel U19
3:0
10.09.18 Friendly International
Serbia U19 vs Israel U19
1:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Israel U19

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Serbia U19

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Israel U19 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Belay Y.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.32
Snitt xA / kamp 0.85

Serbia U19 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Jovanovic L.
1 Mål
Assister Simic N.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.59
Snitt xA / kamp 0.97

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Israel U19 33 / 100
Serbia U19 37 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Israel U19 Serbia U19

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Serbia U19 or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Israel U19 37%
Serbia U19 31%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Israel U19 32%
Serbia U19 41%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Israel U19 34%
Serbia U19 39%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Israel U19 36%
Serbia U19 37%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Israel U19 31%
Serbia U19 43%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Israel U19 39%
Serbia U19 45%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Israel U19 angriper → ← angriper Serbia U19

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Israel U19 have found the net in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Serbia U19 have conceded at least one goal in 72% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.

Israel U19 remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Serbia U19 suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Continental tournament fixture. Elite European competition dynamics apply, with massive stakes for both clubs.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

38 Poeng siste 5 46
1.71 Forventede mål (xG) 1.75
1.43 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Denmark U1933005:19
2Austria U1932017:46
3Hungary U1931022:43
4Iceland U1930031:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Montenegro U1932105:27
2Poland U1932015:16
3Georgia U1931023:63
4Slovakia U1930121:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands U1932106:17
2Czech Republic U1932013:46
3Luxembourg U1931112:34
4Croatia U1930032:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway U1933006:29
2Serbia U1931115:54
3Belgium U1931114:54
4Israel U1930035:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U1932108:47
2Italy U1931205:35
3France U1931023:53
4Latvia U1930123:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U1933005:19
2Slovenia U1931113:44
3Finland U1931025:43
4Ireland U1930121:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U1932103:07
2Portugal U1931113:34
3Wales U1931023:43
4Turkey U1930213:52