Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy vs Belgium - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Italy Logo

Italy

0 - 2
Slutt
Belgium Logo

Belgium

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

20' Event
Godts M.
Assist: De Bruyne K.
25'
Raskin N.
29'
Moreira D.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

The UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Belgium finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belgium.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Italy
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Belgium
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Italy

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Italy come out ahead of Belgium on wins alone.
  • Model gives Italy a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 39.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 18%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Italy Rent bur 10%
Belgium Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Italy Belgium
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 17 15
Uavgjort 5 7
Tap 8 8
Mål Scoret 1.83 2.4
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.23 1.13
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.23 1.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

25. sep. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Belgium
0:2
14. nov. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Belgium vs Italy
0:1
10. okt. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Belgium
2:2
10. okt. 2021 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Belgium
2:1
2. juli 2021 Euro
Belgium vs Italy
1:2

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Italy Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.95
Snitt xA / kamp 0.61

Belgium Sammenlign

Toppscorer Godts M.
1 Mål
Assister Lukebakio D.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.71
Snitt xA / kamp 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Italy 38 / 100
Belgium 27 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Italy Belgium

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Italy Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Italy found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Belgium has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Italy has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Italy VS Belgium
1.57 Mål scoret 2.75
1 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy

(Home)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 6

Belgium

(Away)
05 Oct
France
4 : 1
Belgium
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0
Turkey
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1
France
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)