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Italy vs France - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
tor. 12. nov. 2026
VS
07:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Italy host France in the UEFA Nations League. This one's hard to separate. Italy have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against France's 2.24 scored and 1.09 conceded. Past meetings favor France slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2. okt. 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.10 - 1.75) back France to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Italy
22%
Uavgjort
18%
France
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Italy

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • France have won more games recently than Italy.
  • Model gives Italy a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 33.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 15%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.2%
Italy Rent bur 12%
France Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Italy France
Kamper Spilt 30 34
Seire 17 23
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 8 6
Mål Scoret 1.83 2.24
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.23 1.09
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.10 1.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

2. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
France vs Italy
1:1
17. nov. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs France
1:3
6. sep. 2024 UEFA Nations League
France vs Italy
1:3
1. juni 2018 Friendly International
France vs Italy
3:1
1. sep. 2016 Friendly International
Italy vs France
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Italy 56 / 100
France 19 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Italy France

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Italy Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Italy found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

France has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Italy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Italy VS France
1.57 Mål scoret 2.5
1 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy

(Home)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 6

France

(Away)
05 Oct
France
4 : 1
Belgium
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1
France
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1
France
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)