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Stadium Background

Italy W vs Denmark W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
Italy W Logo

Italy W

1 - 3
Slutt
Denmark W Logo

Denmark W

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

46'
Bytte
Beccari C. Inn: Cantore S.
Ut: Beccari C.
51'
Boattin L.
53' Event
Faerge E.
Assist: Hasbo J.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Italy W and Denmark W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denmark W.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Italy W
22%
Uavgjort
18%
Denmark W
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Italy W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Denmark W come out ahead of Italy W on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Italy W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 69%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 32.8%
Italy W Rent bur 68%
Denmark W Rent bur 18%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Italy W Denmark W
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 10 15
Uavgjort 10 4
Tap 8 9
Mål Scoret 1.54 1.93
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 1.29
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.81 1.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. apr. 2026 World Cup Women
Denmark W vs Italy W
0:0
7. mars 2026 World Cup Women
Italy W vs Denmark W
1:1
8. apr. 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Denmark W vs Italy W
0:3
25. feb. 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Italy W vs Denmark W
1:3
16. feb. 2022 Algarve Cup Women
Denmark W vs Italy W
0:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Italy W Sammenlign

Toppscorer Cambiaghi M.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.62
Snitt xA / kamp 0.41

Denmark W Sammenlign

Toppscorer Faerge E.
1 Mål
Assister Holmgaard S.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.31
Snitt xA / kamp 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Italy W 68 / 100
Denmark W 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Italy W Denmark W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Italy W Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Italy W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Italy W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Denmark W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Måltrender

Italy W VS Denmark W
1 Mål scoret 1.75
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy W

(Home)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

Denmark W

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)