Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Toulon Tournament 2022 encounter between Japan U19 and Colombia U19 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Japan U19 averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Colombia U19 shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Japan U19, 1 wins for Colombia U19, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.06.22 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.00 for Japan U19 and 1.38 for Colombia U19, suggesting the primary value lies in the Japan U19 double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Japan U19 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Colombia U19.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.00 vs 1.38 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 65%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Japan U19 | Colombia U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 9 |
| Seire | 11 | 2 |
| Uavgjort | 1 | 2 |
| Tap | 18 | 5 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.77 | 1.11 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Japan U19
Colombia U19
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Japan U19 Sammenlign
Colombia U19 Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Japan U19 have found the net in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Colombia U19 have conceded at least one goal in 89% of their last 9 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Japan U19 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Colombia U19 suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Argentina U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Panama U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia U20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezuela U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Mexico U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana U20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:3 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Comoros U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Algeria U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |