Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This K4 League encounter between Jinju Citizen and Jecheon Citizen promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Jinju Citizen averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Jecheon Citizen shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Jinju Citizen, 0 wins for Jecheon Citizen, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.06.26 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.81 for Jinju Citizen and 1.13 for Jecheon Citizen, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jinju Citizen double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Jinju Citizen har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Jecheon Citizen.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.81 vs 1.13 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Jinju Citizen | Jecheon Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 27 | 16 |
| Seire | 18 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 2 | 6 |
| Tap | 7 | 4 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.15 | 1 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.11 | 1.19 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Jinju Citizen
Jecheon Citizen
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Jinju Citizen is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Jecheon Citizen will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Jinju Citizen's attacks.
Expect Jinju Citizen to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Jinju Citizen vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Jecheon Citizen, allowing Jinju Citizen's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Jinju Citizen, while Jecheon Citizen takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Jinju Citizen have found the net in 89% of their last 27 matches.
Jecheon Citizen have conceded at least one goal in 69% of their last 16 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Jinju Citizen remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Jecheon Citizen suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinju Citizen | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 38:12 | 40 |
| 2 | Jincheon | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 30:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Geumsan Insam | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 24 |
| 4 | Jecheon Citizen | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 24 |
| 5 | Seoul Jungnang | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Namyangju | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Pyeongchang United | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Sejong SA | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Geoje | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26:21 | 18 |
| 10 | Gijang United | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 11 | Haman | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Pyeongtaek Citizen | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16:32 | 9 |
| 13 | Seosan Pioneer | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15:36 | 9 |