Sport Picks
Jong Almere City vs Excelsior Maassluis
Nederland
Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Yanmar Stadion 
Kampsammendrag
This Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 encounter between Jong Almere City and Excelsior Maassluis promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Jong Almere City averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Excelsior Maassluis shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Jong Almere City, 0 wins for Excelsior Maassluis, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.05.26 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.75 for Jong Almere City and 1.38 for Excelsior Maassluis, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jong Almere City double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Jong Almere City har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Excelsior Maassluis.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.75 vs 1.38 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 69%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Jong Almere City | Excelsior Maassluis |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 29 |
| Seire | 13 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 6 |
| Tap | 12 | 15 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.07 | 1.24 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.83 | 1.79 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Jong Almere City
Excelsior Maassluis
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Jong Almere City Sammenlign
Excelsior Maassluis Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Jong Almere City is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Excelsior Maassluis will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Jong Almere City's attacks.
Expect Jong Almere City to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Jong Almere City vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Excelsior Maassluis, allowing Jong Almere City's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Jong Almere City, while Excelsior Maassluis takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Jong Almere City have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Excelsior Maassluis have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
Jong Almere City remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Excelsior Maassluis suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 69:35 | 66 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 3 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:37 | 63 |
| 4 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 58:44 | 56 |
| 6 | Spakenburg | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 72:60 | 56 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 60:55 | 52 |
| 8 | Jong Almere City | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 70:62 | 50 |
| 9 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 71:73 | 45 |
| 11 | AFC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 62:84 | 43 |
| 13 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 50:62 | 42 |
| 14 | GVVV | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:67 | 42 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 33:49 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 39:58 | 31 |
| 18 | ACV Assen | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 48:71 | 30 |