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Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Helmond Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nederland Nederland

Eerste Divisie AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
fre. 23. okt. 2026
VS
06:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Jong AZ Alkmaar host Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Jong AZ Alkmaar have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.7 conceded recently, against Helmond Sport's 1 scored and 1.7 conceded. Head-to-head, Jong AZ Alkmaar have won 1 to Helmond Sport's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 3. apr. 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.88, favoring Jong AZ Alkmaar. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Helmond Sport
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Jong AZ Alkmaar

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Jong AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than Helmond Sport.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Jong AZ Alkmaar taking it.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Helmond Sport have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Rent bur 10%
Helmond Sport Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Jong AZ Alkmaar Helmond Sport
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 13 6
Uavgjort 4 8
Tap 13 16
Mål Scoret 2.07 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.7 1.7
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.31 1.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

3. apr. 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Helmond Sport
2:0
17. okt. 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:2
26. jan. 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
18. okt. 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Helmond Sport
2:3
11. mars 2024 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Jong AZ Alkmaar 83 / 100
Helmond Sport 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Jong AZ Alkmaar Helmond Sport

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Jong AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Jong AZ Alkmaar found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Helmond Sport has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Jong AZ Alkmaar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Jong AZ Alkmaar VS Helmond Sport
2.75 Mål scoret 1.75
2 Mål sluppet inn 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6

Helmond Sport

(Away)
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1
Helmond Sport
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)