Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jorge Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Copa Pacena encounter between Jorge Wilstermann and Oriente Petrolero promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Jorge Wilstermann averages 1.1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in recent matches. Oriente Petrolero shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Jorge Wilstermann, 2 wins for Oriente Petrolero, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 23.11.25 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.69 for Jorge Wilstermann and 2.27 for Oriente Petrolero, suggesting the primary value lies in the Oriente Petrolero double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

29%
Jorge Wilstermann
26%
Uavgjort
45%
Oriente Petrolero
Uavgjort-prognose: 26% Favoritt: Oriente Petrolero

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Jorge Wilstermann har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Oriente Petrolero.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.69 vs 2.27 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 60%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 84%
Over 2.5 Mål 60%
Over 3.5 Mål 36%
Over 4.5 Mål 18%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 57%
Jorge Wilstermann Rent bur 10%
Oriente Petrolero Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 76%
Mål 2. omgang 80%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Jorge Wilstermann Oriente Petrolero
Kamper Spilt 28 30
Seire 5 11
Uavgjort 8 4
Tap 15 15
Mål Scoret 1.14 1.53
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.18 1.77
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.80 2.38

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23.11.25 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero
3:1
23.10.25 Copa Pacena
Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann
2:0
05.10.25 Copa Pacena
Jorge Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero
0:0
15.06.25 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann
2:0
29.11.24 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero
2:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Jorge Wilstermann

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Oriente Petrolero

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Jorge Wilstermann 28 / 100
Oriente Petrolero 43 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Jorge Wilstermann Oriente Petrolero

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Oriente Petrolero or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Jorge Wilstermann 32%
Oriente Petrolero 36%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Jorge Wilstermann 28%
Oriente Petrolero 47%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Jorge Wilstermann 29%
Oriente Petrolero 45%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Jorge Wilstermann 30%
Oriente Petrolero 43%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Jorge Wilstermann 26%
Oriente Petrolero 50%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Jorge Wilstermann 33%
Oriente Petrolero 52%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Jorge Wilstermann angriper → ← angriper Oriente Petrolero

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Jorge Wilstermann have found the net in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Oriente Petrolero have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

Jorge Wilstermann remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Oriente Petrolero suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

23 Poeng siste 5 37
1.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.75
2.80 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bolivar1482434:2126
2Blooming1473428:2024
3Nacional Potosi1453622:2118
4Jorge Wilstermann1443718:2815
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Oruro1477022:1028
2Always Ready1482436:1926
3The Strongest1444627:2416
4Tomayapo1433821:4412
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1GV San Jose1454526:2119
2Aurora1453624:2918
3San Antonio Bulo Bulo1452723:2417
4Academia del Balompie1432916:3111
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guabira1474325:2525
2Oriente Petrolero1464424:2422
3Club Universitario de Vinto1454522:2019
4Independiente1450919:2615