Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Kalju enters this Meistriliiga fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 59%. Kalju averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Kuressaare shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 5 wins for Kalju, 0 wins for Kuressaare, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.05.26 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for Kalju and 0.94 for Kuressaare, suggesting the primary value lies in the Kalju double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Kalju har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Kuressaare.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.25 vs 0.94 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Kalju | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 15 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 4 |
| Tap | 7 | 16 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.93 | 1.14 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.96 | 1.79 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Kalju
Kuressaare
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Kalju Sammenlign
Kuressaare Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Kalju is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Kuressaare will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Kalju's attacks.
Expect Kalju to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Kalju vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Kuressaare, allowing Kalju's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Kalju, while Kuressaare takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Kalju have found the net in 93% of their last 28 matches.
Kuressaare have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.
Kalju remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Kuressaare suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49:16 | 46 |
| 2 | Flora | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38:19 | 36 |
| 3 | Kalju | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33:16 | 34 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30:23 | 32 |
| 5 | Tammeka Tartu | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20:21 | 26 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22:34 | 23 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 34:43 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 22:32 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Narva | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12:43 | 10 |