Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Nelson Mandela National Stadium

Cameroon

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

This Africa Cup of Nations 2025 encounter between Kenya and Cameroon promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Kenya averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Cameroon shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Kenya, 2 wins for Cameroon, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.10.24 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.69 for Kenya and 1.25 for Cameroon, suggesting the primary value lies in the Cameroon double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

28%

Kenya

35%

Uavgjort

37%

Cameroon

Uavgjort-prognose: 35% Favoritt: Cameroon

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

73% / Middels Sikkerhet

Kenya har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Cameroon.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.69 vs 1.25 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%

Over 1.5 Mål 62%

Over 2.5 Mål 40%

Over 3.5 Mål 24%

Over 4.5 Mål 12%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 42%

Kenya Rent bur 19%

Cameroon Rent bur 20%

Mål 1. omgang 56%

Mål 2. omgang 59%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Kenya	Cameroon
Kamper Spilt	30	30
Seire	11	15
Uavgjort	8	8
Tap	11	7
Mål Scoret	1.23	1.33
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.27	0.8
Forventede Mål (xG)	0.50	0.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	1.75	0.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14.10.24 Africa Cup of Nations

Kenya vs Cameroon

Ballbesittelse: 41% - 41% Kort: 2 - 1

0:1

11.10.24 Africa Cup of Nations

Cameroon vs Kenya

Ballbesittelse: 47% - 46% Kort: 3 - 3

4:1

12.06.23 Africa Cup of Nations

Kenya vs Cameroon

Ballbesittelse: 47% - 53% Kort: 3 - 1

0:0

04.06.22 Africa Cup of Nations

Cameroon vs Kenya

Ballbesittelse: 42% - 47% Kort: 2 - 0

0:0

29.10.16 Friendly International

Kenya vs Cameroon

Ballbesittelse: 51% - 46% Kort: 2 - 2

0:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Kenya

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Cameroon

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Kenya Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A

0 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.38

Snitt xA / kamp 0.25

Cameroon Sammenlign

Toppscorer Enow B.

1 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.68

Snitt xA / kamp 0.42

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Kenya 29 / 100

Cameroon 37 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Kenya Cameroon

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Cameroon or Draw (X2)

Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals

Halvtidstips Draw (HT)

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Kenya 31%

Cameroon 30%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Kenya 27%

Cameroon 39%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Kenya 28%

Cameroon 37%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Kenya 29%

Cameroon 35%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Kenya 25%

Cameroon 41%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Kenya 32%

Cameroon 43%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Kenya angriper → ← angriper Cameroon

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Kenya have found the net in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Cameroon have conceded at least one goal in 60% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.20 goals per match.

Kenya remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Cameroon suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

41 Poeng siste 5 53

0.50 Forventede mål (xG) 0.75

1.75 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4