Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kosovo vs Sweden

World World

World Championship 2026 Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri
2 - 0
Slutt
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This World Championship 2026 encounter between Kosovo and Sweden promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Kosovo averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Sweden shows a form average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Kosovo, 3 wins for Sweden, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.10.25 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.69 for Kosovo and 1.00 for Sweden, suggesting the primary value lies in the Kosovo double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

45%
Kosovo
15%
Uavgjort
40%
Sweden
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Kosovo

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Kosovo har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Sweden.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.69 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 62%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 62%
Over 3.5 Mål 37%
Over 4.5 Mål 19%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 45%
Kosovo Rent bur 23%
Sweden Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 74%
Mål 2. omgang 78%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Kosovo Sweden
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 16 14
Uavgjort 4 5
Tap 10 11
Mål Scoret 1.57 1.93
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.23 1.67
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

13.10.25 World Championship
Sweden vs Kosovo
0:1
08.09.25 World Championship
Kosovo vs Sweden
2:0
09.10.21 World Championship
Sweden vs Kosovo
3:0
28.03.21 World Championship
Kosovo vs Sweden
0:3
12.01.20 Friendly International
Sweden vs Kosovo
1:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Kosovo

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sweden

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Kosovo Sammenlign

Toppscorer Rexhbecaj E.
1 Mål
Assister Muriqi V.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

Sweden Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.03
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Kosovo 45 / 100
Sweden 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Kosovo Sweden

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Kosovo or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Kosovo 50%
Sweden 32%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Kosovo 43%
Sweden 42%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Kosovo 45%
Sweden 40%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Kosovo 47%
Sweden 38%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Kosovo 41%
Sweden 44%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Kosovo 52%
Sweden 46%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Kosovo angriper → ← angriper Sweden

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Kosovo have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Sweden have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Kosovo remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sweden suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

52 Poeng siste 5 47
1.38 Forventede mål (xG) 1.13
0.88 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280