Sport Picks
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
Kampsammendrag
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Kostinbrod and Kyustendil finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kostinbrod.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
50%
28%
22%
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Kostinbrod
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
76%
/ Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Kostinbrod come out ahead of Kyustendil on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Kostinbrod's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors Kostinbrod here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Kostinbrod Rent bur 17%
Kyustendil Rent bur 11%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Kostinbrod | Kyustendil |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 31 |
| Seire | 13 | 12 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 5 |
| Tap | 13 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.47 | 1.55 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
8. aug. 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
3:1
25. apr. 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
2:1
11. okt. 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod
0:2
1. juni 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
1:0
18. nov. 2023 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Kostinbrod 48 / 100
Kyustendil 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Kostinbrod Kyustendil
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Kostinbrod Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Kostinbrod's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Kyustendil let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Away concern: Kyustendil has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Kostinbrod VS Kyustendil
0.75 Mål scoret 0.88
1.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kostinbrod
(Home) 08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
23 May
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Levski Sofia II
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
23 May
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Levski Sofia II
09 May
Kostinbrod
1 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
25 Apr
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Kyustendil
09 Apr
Kostinbrod
0 : 0 Oborishte Panagyurishte
Page 1 of 4
Kyustendil
(Away) 08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
01 Aug
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
23 May
Kyustendil
0 : 0 Slivnishki Geroy
17 May
Slavia Sofia 2
8 : 1 Kyustendil
Page 1 of 7
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
17 May
Slavia Sofia 2
8 : 1 Kyustendil
25 Apr
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Kyustendil
09 Apr
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Kyustendil
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
