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Stadium Background

Kresevo Stanic vs Kakanj

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

FBiH 2006/2007
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This FBiH 2006/2007 encounter between Kresevo Stanic and Kakanj promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Kresevo Stanic averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Kakanj shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Kresevo Stanic, 3 wins for Kakanj, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.04.08 ended in a 2:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for Kresevo Stanic and 0.93 for Kakanj, suggesting the primary value lies in the Kakanj double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

32%
Kresevo Stanic
24%
Uavgjort
44%
Kakanj
Uavgjort-prognose: 24% Favoritt: Kakanj

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

74% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Kresevo Stanic har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Kakanj.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.97 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 67%
Over 2.5 Mål 48%
Over 3.5 Mål 29%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 49%
Kresevo Stanic Rent bur 24%
Kakanj Rent bur 15%
Mål 1. omgang 60%
Mål 2. omgang 64%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Kresevo Stanic Kakanj
Kamper Spilt 30 32
Seire 7 9
Uavgjort 7 9
Tap 16 14
Mål Scoret 0.93 1.09
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.63 1.31

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

25.04.08 Prva Liga - FBiH
Kresevo Stanic vs Kakanj
2:3
29.09.07 Prva Liga - FBiH
Kakanj vs Kresevo Stanic
1:0
25.03.07 Prva Liga - FBiH
Kresevo Stanic vs Kakanj
1:1
26.08.06 Prva Liga - FBiH
Kakanj vs Kresevo Stanic
2:0
09.04.06 Prva Liga - FBiH
Kresevo Stanic vs Kakanj
2:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Kresevo Stanic

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Kakanj

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Kresevo Stanic 34 / 100
Kakanj 43 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Kresevo Stanic Kakanj

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Kakanj or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Kresevo Stanic 35%
Kakanj 35%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Kresevo Stanic 30%
Kakanj 46%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Kresevo Stanic 32%
Kakanj 44%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Kresevo Stanic 34%
Kakanj 42%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Kresevo Stanic 29%
Kakanj 48%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Kresevo Stanic 37%
Kakanj 51%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Kresevo Stanic angriper → ← angriper Kakanj

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Kresevo Stanic have found the net in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Kakanj have conceded at least one goal in 72% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Kresevo Stanic remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Kakanj suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

28 Poeng siste 5 36
0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 0.75
0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kakanj30193850:2160
2Travnik30192951:3259
3Troglav Livno301541145:3349
4Gradacac301531242:2848
5Gradina Srebrenik301441238:3146
6Famos Hrasnica301511436:3446
7Igman Konjic301431352:4045
8Brotnjo Citluk301421438:4244
9Kresevo Stanic301331439:4342
10NK GOSK Gabela301331436:4442
11Visoko301321534:4241
12Banovici301171229:2940
13Cazin301151426:3138
14Radnicki Lukavac301151427:4338
15Mramor30921934:6029
16TOSK Tesanj30751828:5226