Sport Picks
La Roche W vs Saint-Denis W
Frankrike
Division 2 Women 2018/2019 
Kampsammendrag
Saint-Denis W is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to La Roche W, backed by a win probability of 60%. La Roche W averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Saint-Denis W shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for La Roche W, 0 wins for Saint-Denis W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 28.04.19 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for La Roche W and 1.00 for Saint-Denis W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Saint-Denis W double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- La Roche W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Saint-Denis W.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 61%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | La Roche W | Saint-Denis W |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 31 | 24 |
| Seire | 10 | 2 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 3 |
| Tap | 16 | 19 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.26 | 0.71 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.81 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
La Roche W
Saint-Denis W
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Saint-Denis W will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
La Roche W will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Saint-Denis W's early runs.
Expect Saint-Denis W to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as La Roche W tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Saint-Denis W increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for La Roche W's defense, opening up opportunities for Saint-Denis W's forward line.
Expect Saint-Denis W to manage the closing stages, while La Roche W searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
La Roche W have found the net in 61% of their last 31 matches.
Saint-Denis W have conceded at least one goal in 75% of their last 24 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.50 goals per match.
La Roche W remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Saint-Denis W suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reims W | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 75:13 | 57 |
| 2 | Le Havre W | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 58:15 | 43 |
| 3 | Saint-Malo W | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 37:25 | 42 |
| 4 | La Roche W | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 45:16 | 39 |
| 5 | Issy W | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33:30 | 36 |
| 6 | Orleans W | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 44:33 | 35 |
| 7 | Brest W | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 31:36 | 33 |
| 8 | Arras W | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32:30 | 31 |
| 9 | Saint-Maur W | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:45 | 22 |
| 10 | Saint-Denis W | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 20:66 | 17 |
| 11 | Angers W | 22 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 21:63 | 13 |
| 12 | Rennes W | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 23:74 | 6 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille W | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 63:16 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne W | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 58:19 | 56 |
| 3 | Yzeure Allier W | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 46:27 | 46 |
| 4 | Grenoble W | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 46:30 | 41 |
| 5 | ETG Ambilly FC W | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 34:35 | 38 |
| 6 | Albi-Marssac W | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Vendenheim W | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:29 | 36 |
| 8 | Montauban W | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 36:52 | 29 |
| 9 | Nancy W | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29:35 | 27 |
| 10 | Toulouse W | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21:32 | 23 |
| 11 | Pierrots Vauban W | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21:31 | 22 |
| 12 | Metz ESAP W | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15:49 | 17 |
| 13 | AS Portet Carrefour Recebedou W | 24 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 20:65 | 7 |