Sport Picks
Kamphendelser
1'
1'
Yawson S.
16'
16'
Yawson S.
73'
73'
Own Goal
Kampsammendrag
The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Lancaster and Morpeth finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lancaster.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
31%
40%
29%
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
66%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Lancaster come out ahead of Morpeth on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 38%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.2%
Lancaster Rent bur 16%
Morpeth Rent bur 18%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Lancaster | Morpeth |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 31 | 31 |
| Seire | 14 | 12 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 5 |
| Tap | 11 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.68 | 1.06 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.52 | 1.23 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.81 | 1.44 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
3. apr. 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Morpeth
3:0
19. aug. 2025 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Lancaster
0:1
22. mars 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Morpeth
0:0
16. nov. 2024 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Lancaster
0:2
16. mars 2024 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Lancaster
2:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Lancaster Sammenlign
Toppscorer Yawson S.
2 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 0.62
Snitt xA / kamp 0.41
Morpeth Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.31
Snitt xA / kamp 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Lancaster 31 / 100
Morpeth 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Lancaster Morpeth
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Lancaster scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Morpeth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Lancaster went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Lancaster VS Morpeth
1.13 Mål scoret 1
1.88 Mål sluppet inn 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lancaster
(Home) 07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3 Lancaster
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2 Lancaster
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1 Lancaster
19 Sept
Bradford PA
1 : 0 Lancaster
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Lancaster
1 : 1 Tadcaster Albion
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
22 Aug
Lancaster
2 : 2 Quorn
Page 1 of 3
Morpeth
(Away) 12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1 Dunston
29 Aug
Morpeth
2 : 0 Witton Albion
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2 Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0 Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0 Morpeth
Page 1 of 7
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0 Morpeth
11 Apr
Hednesford
4 : 0 Morpeth
03 Apr
Lancaster
3 : 0 Morpeth
21 Mar
Bamber Bridge
0 : 2 Morpeth
10 Mar
Cleethorpes
3 : 1 Morpeth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
