Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Super League 2025/2026 encounter between Lausanne and Winterthur promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Lausanne averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Winterthur shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Lausanne, 3 wins for Winterthur, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 09.05.26 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.25 for Lausanne and 1.63 for Winterthur, suggesting the primary value lies in the Lausanne double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Lausanne har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Winterthur.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.25 vs 1.63 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 71%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Lausanne | Winterthur |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 10 | 5 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 5 |
| Tap | 13 | 19 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.61 | 1.07 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.75 | 2.31 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.13 | 1.50 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.75 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Lausanne
Winterthur
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Lausanne Sammenlign
Winterthur Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Lausanne is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Winterthur will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Lausanne's attacks.
Expect Lausanne to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Lausanne vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Winterthur, allowing Lausanne's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Lausanne, while Winterthur takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Lausanne have found the net in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Winterthur have conceded at least one goal in 97% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Lausanne remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Winterthur suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thun | 33 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 75:37 | 74 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64:40 | 60 |
| 3 | Lugano | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Basel | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 51:45 | 53 |
| 5 | Sion | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 51:35 | 52 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 65:60 | 48 |
| 7 | Luzern | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 64:61 | 40 |
| 8 | Servette | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57:57 | 40 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 47:57 | 39 |
| 10 | Zurich | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 45:63 | 34 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 40:65 | 27 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 35:86 | 19 |