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Lebanon U23 vs Nepal U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2018
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

29' Event
Kourani H.
90' Event
Kourani H.

Kampsammendrag

The AFC Championship U23 2018 game between Lebanon U23 and Nepal U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lebanon U23.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Lebanon U23
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Nepal U23
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Lebanon U23

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Lebanon U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lebanon U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 81%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 81%
Over 3.5 Mål 69%
Over 4.5 Mål 31%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 63%
Lebanon U23 Rent bur 15%
Nepal U23 Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Lebanon U23 Nepal U23
Kamper Spilt 31 27
Seire 8 4
Uavgjort 5 1
Tap 18 22
Mål Scoret 1.23 0.48
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.81 3
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.38 1.52
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

31. okt. 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Lebanon U23 vs Nepal U23
4:0
19. juli 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Lebanon U23 vs Nepal U23
2:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Lebanon U23 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kourani H.
2 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.83
Snitt xA / kamp 1.19

Nepal U23 Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.38
Snitt xA / kamp 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Lebanon U23 84 / 100
Nepal U23 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Lebanon U23 Nepal U23

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Lebanon U23 Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Nepal U23 let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Away concern: Nepal U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Lebanon U23's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Måltrender

Lebanon U23 VS Nepal U23
0.75 Mål scoret 0.67
2.38 Mål sluppet inn 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon U23

(Home)
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Lebanon U23
2 : 4
South Korea U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2
Lebanon U23
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Lebanon U23
2 : 2
Thailand U23
Page 1 of 7

Nepal U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Nepal U23
2 : 4
Syria U23
03 Sept
Tajikistan U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
31 Oct
Lebanon U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
28 Oct
Nepal U23
0 : 6
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U23 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Iran U23 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
4 Sri Lanka U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Afghanistan U23 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Syria U23 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 India U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine U23 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Singapore U23 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
2 Hong Kong U23 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 4:8 4
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Thailand U23 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
2 Vietnam U23 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 2:25 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams