Sport Picks
Leones Negros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara 
Kampsammendrag
Leones Negros host Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Liga de Expansion MX. This one's hard to separate. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while Leones Negros have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Leones Negros slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 28. mars 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.19, favoring Leones Negros. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Form's been kind to Leones Negros lately — more wins on the board than Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
- Leones Negros are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Leones Negros | Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 30 |
| Seire | 10 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 7 |
| Tap | 13 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Alebrijes de Oaxaca let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Leones Negros's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Leones Negros remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Leones Negros
(Home)Alebrijes de Oaxaca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
