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Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women Toyota Stadium, Georgetown, KY
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
11:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Lexington W host Tampa Bay Sun W in the USL Super League Women. This one's hard to separate. Lexington W have averaged 1.68 scored and 0.82 conceded recently, against Tampa Bay Sun W's 1.07 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Lexington W have won 2 to Tampa Bay Sun W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on 4. okt. 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 0.88, favoring Lexington W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Lexington W
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Tampa Bay Sun W
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Lexington W have won more games recently than Tampa Bay Sun W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular USL Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Lexington W Rent bur 20%
Tampa Bay Sun W Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Lexington W Tampa Bay Sun W
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 16 7
Uavgjort 7 9
Tap 5 12
Mål Scoret 1.68 1.07
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.82 1.57
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 0.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. okt. 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W
1:1
16. mai 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1:0
18. apr. 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
4:0
23. nov. 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W
1:1
10. mai 2025 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Lexington W 31 / 100
Tampa Bay Sun W 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Lexington W Tampa Bay Sun W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Lexington W Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Lexington W scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Tampa Bay Sun W let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Lexington W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Lexington W VS Tampa Bay Sun W
1.63 Mål scoret 1.13
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lexington W

(Home)
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1
Lexington W
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Lexington W
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
29 Aug
Lexington W
1 : 2
DC Power W
Page 1 of 6

Tampa Bay Sun W

(Away)
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1
Lexington W
18 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Tampa Bay Sun W
12 Sept
Tampa Bay Sun W
2 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
29 Aug
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 2
Tampa Bay Sun W
22 Aug
Sporting Jax W
3 : 2
Tampa Bay Sun W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 DC Power W 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
3 Sporting Jax W 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
4 Lexington W 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Dallas Trinity W 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
7 Brooklyn W 7 2 0 5 5:14 6
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 7 1 0 6 4:11 3
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)