Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
The ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 game between Liberta and Old Road finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberta.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
4%
6%
90%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Old Road
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Old Road come out ahead of Liberta on wins alone.
- Model gives Old Road a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Old Road have taken 4 of them.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 78.2%
Liberta Rent bur 10%
Old Road Rent bur 12%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Liberta | Old Road |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 40 |
| Seire | 5 | 23 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 7 |
| Tap | 18 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.43 | 3.33 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.9 | 1.43 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.23 | 2.24 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
25. feb. 2023 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
0:4
24. feb. 2020 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Liberta
3:1
11. nov. 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
2:3
23. feb. 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
2:1
2. des. 2018 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Liberta 10 / 100
Old Road 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Liberta Old Road
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Old Road Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Liberta scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Old Road let in goals in 78% of their last 40 matches.
Difficult form: Old Road registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Måltrender
- VS Old Road
0 Mål scoret 3.38
0 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Liberta
(Home) 26 Apr
Parham
7 : 1 Liberta
16 Apr
Empire FC
5 : 1 Liberta
10 Apr
Grenades
5 : 1 Liberta
24 Mar
Empire FC
7 : 2 Liberta
19 Mar
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0 Liberta
Page 1 of 6
12 Mar
Liberta
1 : 2 Tryum
05 Mar
Liberta
4 : 8 SAP
25 Feb
Liberta
0 : 4 Old Road
19 Feb
Liberta
0 : 3 Greenbay Hoppers
12 Feb
Liberta
1 : 5 Swetes
Page 1 of 3
Old Road
(Away) 29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3 Grenades
25 Apr
Old Road
14 : 0 Jennings Utd
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3 Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0 Old Road
22 Mar
Old Road
4 : 5 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 8
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3 Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0 Old Road
15 Feb
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0 Old Road
09 Feb
Garden Stars
1 : 1 Old Road
01 Feb
Potters FC
2 : 1 Old Road
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liberta | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Greenbay Hoppers | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 36:25 | 33 |
| 3 | Grenades | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25:17 | 32 |
| 4 | Old Road | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 35:22 | 31 |
| 5 | Parham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:29 | 26 |
| 6 | Swetes | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 38:34 | 24 |
| 7 | Five Islands | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27:29 | 24 |
| 8 | Tryum | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24:29 | 20 |
| 9 | SAP | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 26:47 | 18 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18:37 | 14 |
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 (Relegation)
