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Libertad Asuncion vs Guarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asunción
søn. 11. okt. 2026
VS
10:20 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Libertad Asuncion have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Guarani's 0.97 scored and 0.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Libertad Asuncion have won 1 to Guarani's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on 2. aug. 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.00) point toward Libertad Asuncion. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Libertad Asuncion
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Guarani
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Guarani haven't matched Libertad Asuncion's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Libertad Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71%
Libertad Asuncion Rent bur 20%
Guarani Rent bur 15%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Libertad Asuncion Guarani
Kamper Spilt 32 29
Seire 15 10
Uavgjort 4 11
Tap 13 8
Mål Scoret 1.38 0.97
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.28 0.86
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

2. aug. 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion
2:1
5. apr. 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion
1:0
8. feb. 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Guarani
3:3
9. nov. 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion
1:2
1. okt. 2025 Copa Paraguay
Libertad Asuncion vs Guarani
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Libertad Asuncion 32 / 100
Guarani 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Libertad Asuncion Guarani

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Libertad Asuncion's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Libertad Asuncion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guarani conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Måltrender

Libertad Asuncion VS Guarani
1.5 Mål scoret 1
1 Mål sluppet inn 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad Asuncion

(Home)
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 7

Guarani

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 12 8 1 3 21:9 25
2 Libertad Asuncion 12 7 2 3 19:13 23
3 Nacional Asuncion 12 6 4 2 19:7 22
4 2 de Mayo 12 6 4 2 14:13 22
5 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
6 Sportivo Trinidense 12 6 2 4 20:11 20
7 Sportivo Ameliano 12 4 6 2 14:13 18
8 Cerro Porteno 12 5 2 5 15:12 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 12 4 1 7 12:21 13
10 Rubio Nu 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
11 Recoleta 12 2 2 8 13:24 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)