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Stadium Background

Libertad Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asunción
tor. 29. okt. 2026
VS
09:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Libertad Asuncion at 1.38 goals for, 1.31 against; Sp. Luqueno at 1.14 for, 1.62 against. Past meetings favor Libertad Asuncion slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 16. aug. 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.06, favoring Libertad Asuncion. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
Libertad Asuncion
11%
Uavgjort
9%
Sp. Luqueno
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Libertad Asuncion

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Libertad Asuncion come out ahead of Sp. Luqueno on wins alone.
  • Libertad Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Libertad Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sp. Luqueno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Libertad Asuncion here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
Libertad Asuncion Rent bur 20%
Sp. Luqueno Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Libertad Asuncion Sp. Luqueno
Kamper Spilt 32 29
Seire 15 8
Uavgjort 4 5
Tap 13 16
Mål Scoret 1.38 1.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.31 1.62
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.44 1.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

16. aug. 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion
1:2
10. mai 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion
2:3
7. mars 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
1:0
13. sep. 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion
1:4
5. juli 2025 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Libertad Asuncion 76 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Libertad Asuncion Sp. Luqueno

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Libertad Asuncion Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Sp. Luqueno let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Libertad Asuncion found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Libertad Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Libertad Asuncion VS Sp. Luqueno
1.38 Mål scoret 1
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad Asuncion

(Home)
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 7

Sp. Luqueno

(Away)
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)